@asgardianlloki

#3,070,66054

0x56604973f2f37e86c213fef9ac209151258054bf

~8d· 14 markets · 3408 tradesVol: $2,953,6762026-08-02 07:45:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (12/14)20/20
2.58x (win $358,883 / loss $139,011)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1537 per $1 invested7.7/10
HHI 3018 (14 markets)0/10
5/6 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($137,011 / $219,872)1.5/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 86%
DCA Master
Avg 243.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,430,392 invested
Consistent
5/6 profitable days
High Roller
$178,799/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-184,942
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,953,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
100B / 3308S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
12W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-184,942
Win Rate
86%
12W / 2L
Profit Factor
2.58x
Avg Win
$29,907
Avg Loss
$-69,506

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $300,094 (1.6226423051969279% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$217,916
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$66,898
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$15,280
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$13,991
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$11,036
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$8,399
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$6,908
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$5,948
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$4,542
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$4,492

Top Losers

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-137,011
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.267
Sortino
inf
HHI
2580
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.154
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.9%
Top-5 markets
84.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
426.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
86%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
126.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 783s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)86% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule426 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
243.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)98%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 4:06:41 AM2686 trades$611,7150 min
6/28/2026, 1:30:40 AM31 trades$531,6660 min
6/28/2026, 1:36:46 AM104 trades$200,1090 min
6/26/2026, 8:06:01 PM318 trades$150,7030 min
6/27/2026, 10:36:29 AM128 trades$104,2610 min
6/28/2026, 1:57:02 AM3 trades$91,3741 min
6/25/2026, 12:50:46 AM10 trades$87,7153 min
6/24/2026, 6:52:34 PM7 trades$68,9786 min
6/23/2026, 7:55:01 PM6 trades$56,7714 min
6/23/2026, 12:56:32 AM6 trades$54,8820 min
6/22/2026, 8:02:01 PM7 trades$42,7141 min
6/23/2026, 10:28:58 PM10 trades$41,1233 min
6/22/2026, 4:09:44 PM7 trades$39,3909 min
6/23/2026, 12:20:52 PM2 trades$31,3170 min
6/23/2026, 1:03:11 AM38 trades$24,6810 min
6/23/2026, 12:00:37 PM2 trades$23,2560 min
6/23/2026, 10:22:10 PM2 trades$22,4720 min
6/27/2026, 1:14:41 AM15 trades$10,9010 min
6/23/2026, 2:02:58 AM2 trades$8,6870 min
6/23/2026, 12:12:49 AM14 trades$8,6031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
97.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 243.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M2 / H98