@MunichWeatherFrog
#3,033,383160x571dd5f63810a019c0fe61f316bfe0a0cc254e76
~29d· 67 markets · 537 tradesVol: $91,1552026-08-02 06:39:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (26/60)6.7/20
0.51x (win $3,537 / loss $6,918)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3080/15
Sortino -4.6800/10
$-0.0980 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 748 (60 markets)8.8/10
7/21 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,381 / $0)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,788,382$-449Vol: $29,812
🌤️ WEATHER#2,138$658Vol: $23,015
🏛️ POLITICS#281,147$2Vol: $6,740
💻 TECH#256,610$-1,021Vol: $6,697
💰 FINANCE#17,062$112Vol: $5,823
₿ CRYPTO#855,137$-1Vol: $1,000
🎭 CULTURE#787,473$-135Vol: $201
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,176
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$91,155
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
284B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,176
Vol: $91,155
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
26W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-4,176
Win Rate
43%
26W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$136
Avg Loss
$-203
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,522 (0.6038598759667648% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,301
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$831
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$390
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$222
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$170
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$162
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?$131
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?$75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$69
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$53
Top Losers
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$-1,999
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-1,625
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-636
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$-585
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-556
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-202
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-168
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-154
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$-138
Will m0NESY have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026$-96
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.220
Sortino
-0.215
HHI
749
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
53.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 597s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)69.4%
Sessions
#127/24/2026, 4:57:19 PM5 trades$3,3074 min
7/19/2026, 12:43:22 PM1 trades$2,6430 min
7/19/2026, 9:50:52 PM7 trades$2,5120 min
7/19/2026, 9:10:33 PM4 trades$2,4410 min
7/7/2026, 5:22:58 PM6 trades$2,0050 min
7/24/2026, 7:15:24 PM1 trades$1,9470 min
7/15/2026, 8:19:17 PM21 trades$1,4256 min
7/7/2026, 5:31:26 PM14 trades$1,1270 min
7/24/2026, 3:53:55 PM3 trades$1,0500 min
7/24/2026, 5:41:39 PM2 trades$1,0032 min
7/7/2026, 8:34:04 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
7/20/2026, 1:50:55 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/21/2026, 1:04:06 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/7/2026, 7:53:22 AM6 trades$7470 min
7/19/2026, 6:13:09 PM9 trades$7200 min
7/1/2026, 11:19:56 PM11 trades$7112 min
7/19/2026, 6:35:51 PM2 trades$7032 min
7/7/2026, 5:43:01 PM5 trades$6290 min
7/27/2026, 4:38:31 PM1 trades$6260 min
7/20/2026, 10:26:06 AM8 trades$6250 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-25
06-28
07-05
07-08
07-15
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
48% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M17.3 / H69.4