@m16zwrnd

#1,809,16138

0x57f83219eb685318eac570d769ea2959adbe01d0

~37d· 122 markets · 447 tradesVol: $16,9782026-08-02 05:20:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (10/74)0/20
1.12x (win $8 / loss $7)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.72013.5/15
Sortino 1.60910/10
$+0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 205 (74 markets)10/10
6/26 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 573% of peak ($5 / $1)0/10

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,121,234$-3Vol: $6,829
🏛️ POLITICS#1,042,257$-3Vol: $5,303
📈 ECONOMICS#505,351$-2Vol: $1,628
🎭 CULTURE#512,989$-1Vol: $1,404
CRYPTO#845,012$-1Vol: $1,377
💰 FINANCE#422,091$-0Vol: $437

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,978
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
210B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9
Vol: $16,978

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
10W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-9
Win Rate
14%
10W / 64L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.7317845828933475% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?$2
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$2
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$0

Top Losers

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?$-0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-0
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$-0
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.096
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
4.6%
Half-Kelly
2.3%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.43
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 0.43 — uniform order sizes52% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 6:04:53 AM49 trades$2,21430 min
2/10/2026, 3:17:55 PM49 trades$2,05917 min
2/12/2026, 1:04:07 AM37 trades$1,78815 min
2/17/2026, 2:41:59 AM44 trades$1,76418 min
2/20/2026, 2:46:14 AM44 trades$1,74321 min
2/18/2026, 12:37:13 AM36 trades$1,67514 min
2/7/2026, 2:01:37 AM29 trades$1,21713 min
2/19/2026, 1:23:42 PM22 trades$8299 min
6/7/2026, 3:52:45 PM2 trades$920 min
1/23/2026, 8:46:32 AM3 trades$843 min
1/27/2026, 5:07:19 AM3 trades$843 min
1/28/2026, 7:05:43 AM4 trades$821 min
6/27/2026, 12:29:25 AM2 trades$780 min
1/27/2026, 7:49:47 PM6 trades$723 min
2/2/2026, 6:42:36 AM6 trades$703 min
1/26/2026, 10:30:43 AM4 trades$581 min
1/20/2026, 3:35:26 PM1 trades$570 min
1/21/2026, 3:06:14 PM1 trades$570 min
1/10/2026, 6:01:48 AM1 trades$560 min
1/13/2026, 1:36:15 PM1 trades$560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-11
01-19
01-26
02-07
02-17
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100