@Duratio

51

0x581d24e58039e1f569dacde9c288e028b51f2b06

~268d· 520 markets · 14116 trades2026-08-02 06:24:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (189/499)3.9/20
1.18x (win $74,512 / loss $63,072)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.80315/15
Sortino 1.52710/10
$+0.0481 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 414 (499 markets)10/10
87/201 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($17,595 / $28,911)1.8/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+28,350
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Whale
$237,765 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,350
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$237,765
Total Redeem
$10,493
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
520
total markets
Trades
11255B / 2861S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~268d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
189W / 310L events
Realized PnL
$28,350
Win Rate
38%
189W / 310L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$394
Avg Loss
$-206

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,891 (0.8074204766270189% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$12,224
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$5,353
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$5,314
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3,638
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$3,431
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3,270
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$3,217
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2,228
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)$2,106
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$2,015

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-7,179
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?$-4,483
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$-2,245
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-2,194
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-1,827
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-1,519
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-1,114
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-1,085
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-1,015

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.066
HHI
267
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.8m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 5.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)9.5%

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 3:47:32 PM2 trades$10,9200 min
12/12/2025, 2:57:32 PM7 trades$6,4143 min
2/5/2026, 12:57:23 PM1 trades$5,7200 min
9/11/2025, 12:50:33 PM45 trades$5,34920 min
1/26/2026, 1:50:49 PM11 trades$4,47612 min
11/7/2025, 10:07:13 PM2 trades$4,3490 min
3/2/2026, 8:07:53 PM18 trades$4,0824 min
9/11/2025, 12:28:19 PM75 trades$3,74013 min
11/1/2025, 10:05:13 AM2 trades$3,5130 min
9/17/2025, 1:25:54 PM54 trades$3,49320 min
3/5/2026, 8:51:01 PM1 trades$3,3000 min
2/28/2026, 3:50:41 PM15 trades$3,04412 min
3/3/2026, 7:39:57 PM23 trades$2,9804 min
12/23/2025, 4:12:11 PM1 trades$2,5800 min
11/25/2025, 1:49:25 PM1 trades$2,5720 min
4/9/2026, 8:07:57 PM9 trades$2,5503 min
10/29/2025, 3:08:17 PM24 trades$2,50813 min
3/3/2026, 9:42:41 PM9 trades$2,4934 min
6/7/2026, 8:53:30 PM5 trades$2,3170 min
6/7/2026, 8:41:18 PM14 trades$2,1560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
10-11
12-23
02-04
03-18
05-06
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.3 / M7.2 / H9.5