@rosenberg
#2,418,446220x5837c16c3dd745173cc39259d48bb5e10bf38778
~37d· 47 markets · 109 tradesVol: $7,7412026-08-02 05:12:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (19/44)6.6/20
0.80x (win $238 / loss $296)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3290/15
Sortino -1.5160/10
$-0.0259 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 563 (44 markets)9.7/10
17/32 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 151% of peak ($184 / $122)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#25,131$72Vol: $5,632
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,601$-140Vol: $1,826
💻 TECH#219,746$-6Vol: $194
📢 MENTIONS#132,645$-12Vol: $38
🌤️ WEATHER#20,556$12Vol: $27
₿ CRYPTO#244,738$9Vol: $19
⚽ SPORTS#388,552$2Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,741
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
76B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
19W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-62
Win Rate
43%
19W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $97 (1.562109312389806% of PnL)
Top Winners
US military action against Iran before July?$37
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$37
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$23
Will TikTok be banned again before May?$22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$20
Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?$12
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$11
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?$10
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?$9
A$AP Rocky sentenced to prison?$9
Top Losers
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-112
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-36
Kanye banned on X by Monday?$-19
Will Trump say "Iran" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$-11
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?$-11
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$-10
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$-10
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?$-9
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
12.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1056s — normal for humanCV 4.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)47.4%
High (>55c)27.6%
Sessions
#125/29/2026, 7:37:32 PM15 trades$1,5390 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:04 PM1 trades$7550 min
5/6/2025, 9:09:38 PM2 trades$791 min
3/21/2026, 2:11:33 PM1 trades$700 min
6/22/2025, 12:42:56 PM2 trades$701 min
2/28/2026, 3:42:43 PM2 trades$641 min
4/15/2026, 4:10:34 PM2 trades$560 min
6/13/2025, 1:32:43 PM1 trades$520 min
1/12/2026, 8:10:35 PM2 trades$440 min
8/1/2025, 3:09:18 AM2 trades$400 min
2/28/2026, 4:15:11 PM1 trades$360 min
6/22/2025, 5:04:10 AM2 trades$364 min
6/18/2025, 12:56:18 AM2 trades$351 min
3/6/2026, 3:54:01 PM3 trades$345 min
5/2/2025, 4:41:21 PM1 trades$300 min
6/13/2025, 12:08:29 PM2 trades$272 min
4/6/2025, 6:00:50 AM1 trades$250 min
2/9/2025, 5:17:46 PM2 trades$202 min
6/9/2026, 10:07:12 PM2 trades$200 min
2/9/2025, 5:10:46 PM2 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
04-09
06-11
06-18
07-03
03-01
04-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 297 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25 / M47.4 / H27.6