@0x5849c946be5a6895a83d004edccaa8c3191ca99e

13

0x5849c946be5a6895a83d004edccaa8c3191ca99e

~245d· 2472 markets · 19319 trades2026-08-02 07:42:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (704/2376)0/20
0.87x (win $3,189 / loss $3,650)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8940/15
Sortino -1.4410/10
$-0.0409 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 131 (2376 markets)10/10
83/227 profitable days (37%)1.6/10
Max DD 156% of peak ($1,536 / $984)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+956
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$956
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,263
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2472
total markets
Trades
15584B / 3735S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~245d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
704W / 1672L events
Realized PnL
$956
Win Rate
30%
704W / 1672L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $740 (0.7733704234336927% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$326
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$261
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$152
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$150
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 14?$117
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 18?$102
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 5?$97
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$85
Will BNB dip to $800 in January?$81
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?$56

Top Losers

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-85
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?$-54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?$-35
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$-30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-26
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$-26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 16?$-25
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
318
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
29.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
17.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 364s — normal for humanCV 17.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 9:11:02 AM5 trades$1,6500 min
6/30/2026, 12:58:11 PM6 trades$1,0701 min
6/26/2026, 11:27:50 AM12 trades$1,0466 min
6/26/2026, 12:14:04 PM3 trades$9071 min
4/28/2026, 6:38:24 PM4 trades$8910 min
6/26/2026, 11:41:02 AM9 trades$7815 min
6/26/2026, 3:07:10 PM4 trades$6330 min
4/25/2026, 8:43:50 PM30 trades$62114 min
7/17/2026, 10:47:04 PM12 trades$5135 min
4/11/2026, 8:37:09 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/30/2026, 8:51:04 AM32 trades$42018 min
6/17/2026, 10:36:10 AM16 trades$4127 min
5/19/2026, 9:10:31 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/21/2026, 7:44:55 AM3 trades$3800 min
6/21/2026, 9:47:29 PM4 trades$3572 min
5/1/2026, 8:56:22 AM9 trades$3185 min
5/29/2026, 8:04:27 PM5 trades$3040 min
4/8/2026, 3:22:13 PM3 trades$3000 min
7/26/2026, 5:35:48 PM5 trades$2502 min
4/2/2026, 9:57:53 AM5 trades$2403 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
01-12
02-20
03-29
05-06
06-14
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.1 / M0 / H9.9