Flaner

@Flaner

#3,070,65020

0x585bef2dc5b122bb8b93dd421f32dd1ca2f4753f

~346d· 777 markets · 23705 tradesVol: $14,337,800 @flanerflan2026-08-02 07:56:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (373/717)11/20
0.47x (win $166,427 / loss $357,101)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1510/15
Sortino -2.2680/10
$-0.0509 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1846 (717 markets)3.3/10
102/197 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 2533% of peak ($199,518 / $7,878)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 32.7 entries/market
Whale
$3,744,445 invested
High Roller
$5,708/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,538$-161,441Vol: $11,374,771
CRYPTO#5,236$9,599Vol: $1,328,250
📈 ECONOMICS#682,186$-25,655Vol: $664,168
🎭 CULTURE#1,093$7,490Vol: $546,440
SPORTS#1,863,692$-3,141Vol: $164,769
💻 TECH#258,142$-8,763Vol: $154,142
💰 FINANCE#656,441$-4,362Vol: $36,330
🌤️ WEATHER#291,888$-259Vol: $2,898
📢 MENTIONS#2,121$525Vol: $1,563

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-183,401
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,337,800
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
777
total markets
Trades
13284B / 10421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~346d

Periods

#2
Today
$77
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$117
Vol: $0
All Time
$-183,401
Vol: $14,337,800

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
373W / 344L events
Realized PnL
$-183,401
Win Rate
52%
373W / 344L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$446
Avg Loss
$-1,066

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,542 (0.2919415816619605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$18,509
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$17,567
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$17,466
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$8,188
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$7,512
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$7,219
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$6,983
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$5,109
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?$4,764
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$4,505

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-91,005
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-39,325
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-25,521
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?$-24,338
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-15,656
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$-15,309
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$-14,610
Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?$-12,235
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-8,929
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-7,618

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
1640
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.5%
Top-5 markets
59.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
42 min
Avg Trades / Session
186.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 5.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.66
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)59.9%

Sessions

#12
11/15/2024, 5:56:45 AM1169 trades$365,754270 min
11/14/2024, 10:12:51 AM1084 trades$174,911114 min
11/5/2024, 7:55:29 AM4 trades$158,2083 min
11/14/2024, 5:38:35 AM463 trades$154,55562 min
11/16/2024, 2:06:55 AM528 trades$136,291195 min
11/14/2024, 12:20:37 PM708 trades$114,55866 min
11/1/2024, 3:30:34 PM86 trades$107,33215 min
11/15/2024, 3:05:49 AM300 trades$104,34868 min
11/14/2024, 8:30:33 AM321 trades$95,66451 min
12/11/2024, 11:29:26 AM161 trades$94,25642 min
11/12/2024, 7:04:11 PM416 trades$90,396146 min
1/20/2025, 6:27:53 PM1 trades$89,8720 min
12/6/2024, 1:27:12 PM69 trades$81,85915 min
12/5/2024, 1:02:39 AM4 trades$67,4728 min
11/1/2024, 9:24:14 AM98 trades$62,69110 min
12/13/2024, 4:17:43 PM264 trades$61,71824 min
11/16/2024, 11:34:37 PM143 trades$60,76859 min
11/14/2024, 5:00:39 AM104 trades$60,67629 min
11/16/2024, 1:59:05 PM303 trades$58,619119 min
12/12/2024, 4:23:49 PM37 trades$57,60018 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
12-13
02-10
05-25
08-18
11-27
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 350 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M28 / H59.9