@DFERT4
#86,052300x5862d00d28ed05176ffbcebb14db82bdaa41792a
~63d· 153 markets · 609 tradesVol: $1,778,6072026-08-02 05:10:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (128/150)20/20
0.06x (win $71 / loss $1,140)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8820/15
Sortino -2.8520/10
$-0.2723 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3092 (150 markets)0/10
44/59 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 1771% of peak ($1,133 / $64)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+904
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Consistent
44/59 profitable days
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
Categories
4💰 FINANCE#7,412$455Vol: $911,375
🏛️ POLITICS#29,170$440Vol: $865,041
🎭 CULTURE#72,329$9Vol: $2,171
📈 ECONOMICS#237,500$0Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$904
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,778,607
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
328B / 281S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$904
Vol: $1,778,607
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
128W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$904
Win Rate
85%
128W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-81
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57 (0.06322010824451306% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$34
Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1
Top Losers
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-914
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-181
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$-29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
1923
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.274
Kelly %
15.1%
Half-Kelly
7.6%
Top-1 market
34.8%
Top-5 markets
68.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)62.2%
Sessions
#126/25/2026, 6:12:47 AM81 trades$3,2587 min
4/26/2026, 3:48:50 PM30 trades$1,1764 min
6/25/2026, 5:34:59 AM40 trades$9695 min
4/24/2026, 11:06:00 AM21 trades$6772 min
2/27/2026, 6:25:50 AM16 trades$4595 min
4/7/2026, 6:43:05 AM36 trades$3334 min
2/23/2026, 6:48:34 AM12 trades$1245 min
2/26/2026, 4:42:58 AM8 trades$805 min
3/12/2026, 4:51:07 AM6 trades$671 min
3/15/2026, 12:34:31 PM6 trades$531 min
5/11/2026, 12:41:22 PM19 trades$504 min
4/25/2026, 5:12:26 AM13 trades$422 min
5/7/2026, 1:28:16 PM15 trades$404 min
3/19/2026, 10:19:35 AM4 trades$401 min
2/20/2026, 10:03:24 AM4 trades$402 min
2/13/2026, 6:56:03 AM7 trades$388 min
6/15/2026, 11:42:33 AM14 trades$352 min
6/17/2026, 5:24:02 AM14 trades$353 min
2/10/2026, 7:08:43 PM15 trades$306 min
6/6/2026, 5:04:27 AM12 trades$303 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-03
03-23
04-26
05-07
05-21
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.3 / M1.5 / H62.2