@SchillerSt

#3,028,21517

0x58d6c1532b1a88ac28a56b66fc62b7a03e3c8d67

~19d· 26 markets · 54 tradesVol: $107,7142026-08-02 04:07:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (13/25)11/20
0.25x (win $2,495 / loss $9,912)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1130/15
Sortino -5.9680/10
$-0.5881 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2023 (25 markets)2.4/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 15327% of peak ($8,022 / $52)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,863,942$-3,194Vol: $94,623
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,007$-431Vol: $10,515
🌤️ WEATHER#3,662$317Vol: $1,217
CRYPTO#1,509,040$-150Vol: $513
🎭 CULTURE#104,394$3Vol: $103

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,654
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,714
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
33B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$44
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,654
Vol: $107,714

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
13W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-3,654
Win Rate
52%
13W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$192
Avg Loss
$-826

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,077 (0.5683499306279606% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1,148
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$552
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$376
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$138
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$70
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$60
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$49
Seahawks vs. Patriots$45
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$32
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9

Top Losers

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-5,000
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-3,127
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-500
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-250
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$-200
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$-200
US government shutdown Saturday?$-186
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$-100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$-100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.310
Sortino
-0.263
HHI
2050
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.599
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.6%
Top-5 markets
73.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.84
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 3:09:51 AM3 trades$7,2002 min
4/2/2026, 12:12:13 AM3 trades$4,6360 min
3/29/2026, 9:46:18 PM2 trades$2,1483 min
7/19/2026, 8:53:01 PM9 trades$7540 min
7/19/2026, 10:22:58 PM8 trades$7330 min
1/29/2026, 8:46:58 PM3 trades$5462 min
2/7/2026, 3:36:43 AM4 trades$5001 min
3/21/2026, 2:59:51 AM1 trades$5000 min
1/30/2026, 2:31:12 AM2 trades$3641 min
1/28/2026, 6:51:00 PM2 trades$3003 min
2/10/2026, 7:41:55 PM3 trades$2504 min
1/22/2026, 1:35:30 AM2 trades$2001 min
2/1/2026, 1:58:42 AM1 trades$2000 min
2/6/2026, 5:09:23 PM1 trades$2000 min
2/8/2026, 11:11:55 PM1 trades$2000 min
2/28/2026, 8:34:45 PM2 trades$2000 min
1/23/2026, 11:46:22 PM2 trades$1500 min
1/29/2026, 8:22:10 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/5/2026, 1:32:09 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/14/2026, 2:31:35 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
01-28
01-30
02-07
02-10
02-28
03-21
04-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.3 / M24.2 / H42.4