@Not-Sleeping-Anymore
200x5bb3c0edb3b5ad08cf21c5d2ceb80d3d65794268
~104d· 137 markets · 2053 trades2026-08-02 07:40:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (64/133)9.1/20
0.89x (win $25,118 / loss $28,228)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6730/15
Sortino -1.1810/10
$-0.0292 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1017 (133 markets)7.4/10
27/69 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 284% of peak ($13,391 / $4,713)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.3 entries/market
Whale
$106,341 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,060
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,341
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
1359B / 694S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
64W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-5,060
Win Rate
48%
64W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$392
Avg Loss
$-428
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,600 (2.4899717600652935% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5,560
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4,308
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,732
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1,530
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1,205
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,014
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1,005
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$890
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$806
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$791
Top Losers
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$-3,773
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-2,830
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$-2,428
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$-2,341
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-1,997
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,667
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-1,449
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-1,104
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$-990
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$-906
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
713
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
16.5%
Half-Kelly
8.3%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
40.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)63.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)10.1%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 7:17:31 PM9 trades$25,3370 min
7/16/2026, 7:58:38 PM90 trades$20,4411 min
7/12/2026, 1:13:29 PM11 trades$19,5710 min
7/17/2026, 7:43:37 PM15 trades$10,5960 min
7/23/2026, 6:00:33 PM11 trades$7,7160 min
3/31/2026, 8:27:27 PM2 trades$7,5000 min
3/19/2026, 3:57:11 PM71 trades$6,81024 min
3/31/2026, 3:03:35 PM3 trades$6,5170 min
6/11/2026, 7:18:49 PM7 trades$5,9961 min
5/26/2026, 7:57:39 PM2 trades$4,5450 min
7/29/2026, 12:07:48 PM2 trades$4,3480 min
3/31/2026, 5:31:33 PM6 trades$4,1140 min
6/9/2026, 7:39:10 PM2 trades$3,4380 min
3/5/2026, 10:29:33 PM1 trades$3,3010 min
6/9/2026, 6:19:39 PM5 trades$2,8380 min
6/11/2026, 9:26:33 PM3 trades$2,8270 min
4/2/2026, 1:19:13 AM13 trades$2,7742 min
6/1/2026, 3:15:16 PM8 trades$2,7610 min
7/17/2026, 10:18:37 PM5 trades$2,7110 min
5/19/2026, 1:56:50 PM2 trades$2,5750 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
01-18
02-06
02-27
03-15
05-19
06-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.1 / M26.9 / H10.1