@nestea2k
#29,144790x5bb56179d7389e4342b4d24c991af99017d0abf6
~44d· 75 markets · 1430 tradesVol: $1,145,4842026-08-02 05:28:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (32/74)6.6/20
5.55x (win $175,803 / loss $31,676)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.25415/15
Sortino 37.75210/10
$+1.5283 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1122 (74 markets)6.9/10
18/36 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($15,139 / $149,044)10/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+4,198
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$94,308 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,595,794$-602Vol: $754,003
🏛️ POLITICS#8,884$3,019Vol: $203,585
⚽ SPORTS#32,827$1,239Vol: $150,761
💻 TECH#3,475$246Vol: $6,152
💰 FINANCE#40,155$20Vol: $3,363
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,145,484
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
740B / 690S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
32W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$4,198
Win Rate
43%
32W / 42L
Profit Factor
5.55x
Avg Win
$5,494
Avg Loss
$-754
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $158,703 (37.80809464478427% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$141,964
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12,600
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,138
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$3,085
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1,604
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?$1,465
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners$1,251
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$1,000
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$900
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$757
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-10,238
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,364
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-2,882
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-1,495
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-1,110
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$-1,091
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)$-920
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-880
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-857
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-835
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
1.547
HHI
1486
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.531
Kelly %
26.3%
Half-Kelly
13.1%
Top-1 market
35.7%
Top-5 markets
56.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)40.7%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 12:00:07 PM39 trades$17,2884 min
6/4/2026, 12:17:28 PM3 trades$9,1350 min
6/1/2026, 11:59:54 AM24 trades$7,66910 min
6/8/2026, 6:35:13 PM23 trades$6,5282 min
5/31/2026, 2:49:03 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
6/10/2026, 11:29:55 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/13/2026, 4:57:54 PM67 trades$4,67411 min
6/13/2026, 4:40:57 PM16 trades$4,21512 min
6/29/2026, 10:48:16 AM64 trades$3,8374 min
6/13/2026, 4:05:30 PM26 trades$3,42914 min
6/13/2026, 12:55:22 PM8 trades$2,9862 min
6/12/2026, 1:37:48 PM9 trades$2,7794 min
6/26/2026, 7:18:50 PM2 trades$2,5300 min
6/12/2026, 9:29:19 AM8 trades$2,4300 min
6/13/2026, 5:17:18 PM11 trades$2,2837 min
6/11/2026, 5:02:25 PM20 trades$2,2487 min
6/12/2026, 7:57:15 AM10 trades$2,1614 min
5/25/2026, 2:22:13 PM27 trades$2,06111 min
6/13/2026, 2:57:03 PM14 trades$2,0194 min
6/13/2026, 3:07:58 PM13 trades$2,0107 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-19
05-30
06-09
06-15
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.7 / M26.6 / H40.7