ApuStonks

@ApuStonks

#20,79365

0x5bffeb3a5fa46f29689efeabad0502f16d0863e0

~125d· 127 markets · 612 tradesVol: $414,5072026-08-02 06:23:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (43/119)3.1/20
1.92x (win $8,703 / loss $4,533)14/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.05615/15
Sortino 9.74910/10
$+0.0224 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 796 (119 markets)8.5/10
28/65 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($758 / $4,205)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+6,407
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$186,350 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#6,442$4,830Vol: $286,528
SPORTS#1,736,119$-195Vol: $62,568
🎭 CULTURE#3,313$1,821Vol: $58,825
💰 FINANCE#638,706$-165Vol: $5,791
💻 TECH#17,802$10Vol: $490
📢 MENTIONS#5,815$106Vol: $305

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,407
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$414,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
294B / 318S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Week
$82
Vol: $0
Month
$194
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,407
Vol: $414,507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
43W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$6,407
Win Rate
36%
43W / 76L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$202
Avg Loss
$-72

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,844 (0.4438477385522989% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$1,035
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$907
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$902
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$897
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$809
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$635
Astronomer Divorce Parlay$624
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?$293
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$277
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$233

Top Losers

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-636
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?$-511
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$-497
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic$-314
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-273
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$-196
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$-175
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-146
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?$-106
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?$-102

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.211
Sortino
0.445
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
26.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 5:21:59 PM24 trades$31,9961 min
6/29/2026, 2:33:56 PM12 trades$16,43912 min
9/16/2025, 2:16:42 PM3 trades$15,7552 min
9/11/2025, 10:31:19 AM2 trades$15,0895 min
8/20/2025, 12:26:38 PM1 trades$13,8800 min
7/7/2026, 7:38:37 PM22 trades$12,0660 min
8/8/2025, 10:48:13 AM1 trades$11,4440 min
8/5/2025, 3:10:16 PM1 trades$11,3260 min
6/29/2026, 4:06:14 PM4 trades$9,9462 min
9/8/2025, 12:08:08 AM1 trades$8,0350 min
7/16/2026, 9:27:08 AM11 trades$7,9203 min
8/21/2025, 11:18:22 AM2 trades$7,0292 min
8/21/2025, 12:19:22 PM1 trades$7,0270 min
8/21/2025, 11:28:52 AM1 trades$6,8590 min
2/1/2026, 8:58:58 AM4 trades$5,3353 min
9/21/2025, 9:44:50 PM2 trades$5,0262 min
9/11/2025, 10:16:53 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
11/15/2025, 8:55:48 PM8 trades$4,77510 min
9/30/2025, 6:27:09 PM5 trades$4,4598 min
6/29/2026, 2:55:05 PM15 trades$4,2520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
05-18
07-18
09-16
11-16
04-15
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.3 / M19.4 / H48.3