@afaus

#22,64566

0x5d5db930389105ecc1927de972696a4e52ba6be6

~407d· 464 markets · 5205 tradesVol: $1,558,3762026-08-02 09:29:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (315/455)19.6/20
1.15x (win $48,108 / loss $41,772)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68212.8/15
Sortino 0.8778.8/10
$+0.0127 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 103 (455 markets)10/10
160/228 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($8,734 / $10,939)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+5,740
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$500,348 invested
Consistent
160/228 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#791,744$-155Vol: $640,320
CRYPTO#11,425$4,130Vol: $480,154
🏛️ POLITICS#23,014$668Vol: $297,825
💰 FINANCE#2,312$2,019Vol: $52,042
💻 TECH#2,458$432Vol: $37,807
📈 ECONOMICS#8,102$206Vol: $33,908
📢 MENTIONS#175,652$-1,830Vol: $7,028
SPORTS#1,740,335$-204Vol: $3,059
🌤️ WEATHER#4,366$239Vol: $2,614

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,740
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,558,376
Total Redeem
$400
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
464
total markets
Trades
2714B / 2491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~407d

Periods

#2
Today
$50
Vol: $215
Week
$301
Vol: $215
Month
$246
Vol: $2,104
All Time
$5,740
Vol: $1,558,376

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
315W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$5,740
Win Rate
69%
315W / 140L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$153
Avg Loss
$-301

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,484 (1.3037388550344409% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4,809
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$1,450
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?$1,225
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,065
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1,057
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$973
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$832
Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?$803
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?$750
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$728

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?$-4,502
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$-3,683
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?$-3,411
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,943
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$-2,730
Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?$-2,611
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?$-1,409
Yoon arrested by January 31?$-1,381
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$-1,322
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times May 30–June 6?$-1,145

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.028
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
13%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 2:51:07 AM1 trades$13,7580 min
10/26/2024, 11:34:02 AM1 trades$8,9490 min
9/16/2025, 9:37:42 AM2 trades$8,0461 min
1/3/2025, 4:33:52 AM2 trades$7,2251 min
2/14/2025, 3:40:26 PM8 trades$7,0599 min
12/19/2024, 5:07:54 AM1 trades$6,3690 min
12/19/2024, 2:41:06 AM5 trades$6,3025 min
12/19/2024, 2:01:22 PM41 trades$5,5343 min
6/4/2025, 7:27:00 PM5 trades$5,4941 min
2/4/2025, 2:04:10 PM6 trades$5,3243 min
12/20/2024, 12:07:00 AM3 trades$5,1863 min
12/15/2024, 11:48:29 AM4 trades$4,9652 min
2/28/2025, 2:44:02 AM5 trades$4,8035 min
12/26/2024, 7:30:54 AM4 trades$4,6516 min
12/30/2024, 11:05:16 PM4 trades$4,5880 min
7/28/2026, 4:43:13 PM6 trades$4,5031 min
12/18/2024, 10:00:44 PM1 trades$4,4700 min
2/27/2025, 5:43:03 AM9 trades$4,4501 min
1/8/2025, 11:22:55 PM2 trades$4,3871 min
12/26/2024, 8:03:52 AM6 trades$4,3625 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
02-23
05-02
07-06
11-14
03-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 205 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M17.3 / H67.9