@ArbitrageTaker
#51,228730x5e925066d60a57ebce9291a86acaef92b6db618a
~136d· 151 markets · 839 tradesVol: $101,5652026-08-02 11:52:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
89% (104/117)20/20
1.44x (win $2,695 / loss $1,876)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.84815/15
Sortino 2.16710/10
$+0.0096 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 257 (117 markets)10/10
74/83 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($851 / $1,215)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+2,044
Whale
$85,326 invested
Consistent
74/83 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#20,340$816Vol: $51,687
₿ CRYPTO#49,594$363Vol: $14,813
🎭 CULTURE#12,431$241Vol: $10,734
💰 FINANCE#14,432$152Vol: $8,940
⚽ SPORTS#134,370$81Vol: $6,988
💻 TECH#4,536$163Vol: $5,494
📈 ECONOMICS#35,299$14Vol: $453
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,039
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$101,565
Total Redeem
$368
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
151
total markets
Trades
523B / 316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$52
Vol: $0
Month
$39
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,039
Vol: $101,565
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
89%
104W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$2,044
Win Rate
89%
104W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-156
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $550 (0.2689219145302491% of PnL)
Top Winners
Trump out as President by June 30?$189
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?$189
US civil war before 2027?$172
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$155
Trump wins every swing state?$103
Will Biden finish his term?$96
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$81
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$79
GTA VI released in 2025?$77
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$62
Top Losers
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$-508
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-457
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$-336
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?$-245
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$-105
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$-102
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-06?$-42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-38
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$-32
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.054
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
20.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)95.8%
Sessions
#127/6/2026, 10:13:23 AM11 trades$3,5325 min
10/26/2025, 4:27:35 AM8 trades$3,4122 min
1/24/2026, 9:30:02 AM1 trades$2,9910 min
1/9/2026, 11:40:00 AM3 trades$2,8373 min
5/12/2026, 10:29:59 AM25 trades$2,2190 min
4/7/2026, 4:31:23 PM6 trades$2,0542 min
4/21/2026, 10:23:08 AM2 trades$1,9860 min
5/6/2026, 9:05:16 AM4 trades$1,9740 min
7/3/2026, 2:04:01 PM8 trades$1,9620 min
1/31/2026, 10:51:16 AM1 trades$1,7270 min
1/24/2026, 9:18:10 AM5 trades$1,6736 min
2/1/2026, 10:46:42 AM2 trades$1,6561 min
5/7/2026, 8:47:28 PM12 trades$1,5679 min
2/28/2026, 7:45:35 PM4 trades$1,5645 min
3/19/2026, 12:11:19 PM6 trades$1,5534 min
4/20/2026, 8:33:12 PM20 trades$1,5053 min
5/13/2026, 3:49:07 PM12 trades$1,3683 min
7/6/2026, 11:51:04 AM5 trades$1,2971 min
6/1/2026, 10:03:56 AM7 trades$1,2972 min
11/29/2025, 12:39:21 PM2 trades$1,2381 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
12-28
07-17
01-03
03-23
04-13
06-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M2.3 / H95.8