@GoblinMarine

#24,09355

0x5ee92d7b06c97aad086c29e0f82c468dcd362673

~15d· 28 markets · 1230 tradesVol: $593,2462026-08-02 06:26:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (15/28)11.8/20
1.23x (win $95,326 / loss $77,400)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10815/15
Sortino 1.57010/10
$+0.1505 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 3780 (28 markets)0/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($68,800 / $86,726)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,293
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 43.9 entries/market
Whale
$119,094 invested
High Roller
$1,452/day

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,284$38,454Vol: $524,107
SPORTS#1,880,449$-33,048Vol: $51,794
🎭 CULTURE#744,057$-31Vol: $13,922
📈 ECONOMICS#655,892$-86Vol: $3,414

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,293
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$593,246
Total Redeem
$8,829
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
298B / 932S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
15W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$5,293
Win Rate
54%
15W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$6,355
Avg Loss
$-6,450

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $70,478 (13.31633859978612% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$34,540
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$24,197
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$11,742
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$6,361
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5,597
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$4,655
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,061
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1,909
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$1,436
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$767

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-68,830
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-5,344
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$-2,981
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-145
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-55
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?$-10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?$-10
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?$-10
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?$-10
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.054
HHI
2144
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.3%
Top-5 markets
82.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 6.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity15 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
43.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)30.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 4:09:45 PM37 trades$234,17810 min
4/8/2026, 4:37:51 PM2 trades$71,4290 min
6/23/2026, 8:40:04 PM16 trades$47,6400 min
6/21/2026, 12:57:47 PM3 trades$47,6180 min
6/21/2026, 3:40:44 PM14 trades$12,7871 min
6/12/2026, 11:29:18 PM31 trades$12,0180 min
4/7/2026, 10:36:41 PM15 trades$11,9940 min
6/21/2026, 11:37:16 AM5 trades$9,3771 min
6/19/2026, 8:57:22 PM83 trades$9,1763 min
6/12/2026, 3:45:22 PM85 trades$8,5801 min
6/19/2026, 3:54:34 PM79 trades$8,2944 min
6/19/2026, 3:38:31 AM25 trades$8,0250 min
4/7/2026, 10:09:25 AM75 trades$7,5377 min
6/19/2026, 7:08:59 PM10 trades$5,9365 min
4/7/2026, 3:19:55 AM8 trades$5,2990 min
6/20/2026, 6:34:17 AM81 trades$5,1285 min
6/20/2026, 8:24:38 AM38 trades$4,7231 min
6/19/2026, 8:19:28 PM37 trades$4,6001 min
6/13/2026, 9:43:58 AM44 trades$4,2104 min
4/8/2026, 2:18:21 PM25 trades$3,7750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-08
04-10
04-11
06-12
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-24
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.93/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.8 / M43.3 / H30.9