@ammarb
#2,680,30250x5efe3c04dbc8e0f63260d3984db311128ceb5f55
~28d· 54 markets · 456 tradesVol: $37,0132026-08-02 06:22:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (5/22)0/20
0.08x (win $72 / loss $918)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.7810/15
Sortino -9.4170/10
$-0.1129 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1480 (22 markets)5.1/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 3193% of peak ($891 / $28)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4💰 FINANCE#39,020$21Vol: $25,650
💻 TECH#252,628$-224Vol: $10,046
🏛️ POLITICS#128,732$22Vol: $992
🎭 CULTURE#95,183$4Vol: $325
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-176
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,013
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
257B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$-261
Vol: $0
Month
$-57
Vol: $0
All Time
$-176
Vol: $37,013
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
5W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-176
Win Rate
23%
5W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-57
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (0.3770975056689342% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$16
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$15
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$5
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $0
Top Losers
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-433
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-114
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-113
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-88
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$-74
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$-24
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$-20
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$-17
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?$-10
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$-9
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.540
Sortino
-0.508
HHI
373
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
36.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 505s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.86
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)24.1%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 6:31:26 AM12 trades$1,0752 min
7/5/2026, 4:22:22 PM1 trades$1,0520 min
7/11/2026, 4:25:02 AM21 trades$8971 min
6/13/2026, 7:13:51 AM25 trades$89412 min
7/8/2026, 4:35:43 AM22 trades$66611 min
7/3/2026, 3:35:02 PM15 trades$5313 min
6/22/2026, 4:37:37 AM6 trades$4184 min
6/29/2026, 4:04:47 AM12 trades$4000 min
6/22/2026, 4:28:16 AM6 trades$3713 min
7/3/2026, 7:08:28 AM4 trades$3080 min
7/2/2026, 6:19:05 AM4 trades$2994 min
6/28/2026, 5:21:44 PM1 trades$2790 min
7/8/2026, 5:10:44 AM1 trades$2740 min
6/16/2026, 3:33:05 PM2 trades$2701 min
6/18/2026, 10:48:46 AM1 trades$2350 min
7/9/2026, 4:59:02 PM15 trades$2320 min
7/6/2026, 4:32:49 PM12 trades$2280 min
7/8/2026, 3:53:56 PM2 trades$2222 min
7/1/2026, 5:56:20 AM8 trades$2170 min
6/27/2026, 12:43:19 AM3 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-18
06-24
06-27
07-01
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.6 / M18.3 / H24.1