@CaseyA
#2,862,696240x5f7b0856baeea1e58bf39cc8825f37f5cfd7ec41
~10d· 14 markets · 70 tradesVol: $22,4992026-08-02 07:00:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (6/11)12.3/20
0.47x (win $244 / loss $522)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5260/15
Sortino -6.9320/10
$-0.0665 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1099 (11 markets)7/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($522 / $244)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,338,245$-15Vol: $18,724
⚽ SPORTS#1,610,231$-57Vol: $3,238
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-566
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,499
Total Redeem
$733
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
43B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
6W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-566
Win Rate
55%
6W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-104
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $217 (0.3835057735089516% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$96
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$84
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$37
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)$15
Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)$7
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4
Top Losers
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$-159
Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?$-142
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$-106
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-88
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)$-27
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.320
Sortino
-0.808
HHI
1398
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
73.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)62.8%
Sessions
#125/24/2026, 3:21:23 AM6 trades$1,0401 min
6/4/2026, 3:05:55 AM4 trades$1,0140 min
7/9/2026, 10:07:38 AM4 trades$9000 min
7/9/2026, 11:09:02 AM4 trades$8800 min
6/28/2026, 8:50:04 AM4 trades$7900 min
6/29/2026, 8:45:17 AM8 trades$7902 min
6/17/2026, 8:44:44 AM6 trades$5551 min
5/28/2026, 2:30:28 AM2 trades$5230 min
5/26/2026, 6:38:40 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/28/2026, 5:26:00 AM3 trades$4992 min
5/26/2026, 7:20:31 AM1 trades$4780 min
4/21/2026, 8:15:26 AM2 trades$4500 min
4/21/2026, 10:04:18 AM2 trades$4250 min
4/21/2026, 9:48:48 AM1 trades$4130 min
4/10/2026, 9:37:19 AM2 trades$3080 min
4/10/2026, 8:02:29 AM2 trades$3050 min
4/10/2026, 9:31:43 AM1 trades$3010 min
5/24/2026, 2:49:37 AM2 trades$830 min
7/9/2026, 7:22:52 AM2 trades$724 min
7/9/2026, 10:19:04 AM2 trades$620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-21
05-26
05-28
06-04
06-17
06-28
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.2 / M0 / H62.8