@timmythewhale
#1,544640x6000bd089eafe43b6d58b44a590c5d6dd643f302
~16d· 30 markets · 3067 tradesVol: $3,834,2642026-08-02 05:20:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (22/29)20/20
1.18x (win $258,490 / loss $218,172)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.85915/15
Sortino 2.80310/10
$+0.0136 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 1453 (29 markets)5.2/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 265% of peak ($106,756 / $40,319)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+126,418
DCA Master
Avg 103.9 entries/market
Whale
$2,969,223 invested
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
High Roller
$106,044/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#558$91,533Vol: $3,499,461
📈 ECONOMICS#244$29,278Vol: $224,877
⚽ SPORTS#8,359$5,606Vol: $109,926
Overview
#1Net PnL
$126,418
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,834,264
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
2143B / 924S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$-510
Vol: $0
Week
$725
Vol: $0
Month
$-315
Vol: $0
All Time
$126,418
Vol: $3,834,264
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
22W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$126,418
Win Rate
76%
22W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$11,750
Avg Loss
$-31,167
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146,543 (1.1591927719039565% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$68,381
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$39,626
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$38,536
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$35,239
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$19,142
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$15,126
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$11,558
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$8,312
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$7,251
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,410
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-120,414
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-69,098
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-12,933
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-11,019
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-3,150
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-1,500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$-58
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.093
Sortino
0.101
HHI
1527
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.2%
Top-5 markets
71.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
109.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
43s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.7
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 43s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock110 trades/day — automation1.1 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
103.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)93%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:42:31 PM184 trades$432,16640 min
6/13/2026, 8:14:22 PM128 trades$215,62362 min
6/16/2026, 11:46:44 PM87 trades$201,63715 min
6/11/2026, 11:56:27 PM71 trades$181,62722 min
6/14/2026, 11:24:36 PM7 trades$176,1174 min
6/13/2026, 5:40:09 PM150 trades$142,27159 min
6/12/2026, 1:51:09 PM17 trades$113,21611 min
6/13/2026, 11:11:55 PM41 trades$110,20714 min
6/19/2026, 11:26:26 PM200 trades$105,35957 min
6/13/2026, 10:13:37 PM91 trades$103,41323 min
6/12/2026, 4:07:07 PM51 trades$93,77723 min
6/14/2026, 9:01:24 PM32 trades$91,8011 min
6/13/2026, 11:32:25 PM48 trades$84,9627 min
6/23/2026, 1:00:19 AM48 trades$74,0985 min
6/14/2026, 10:51:03 PM64 trades$72,6757 min
6/14/2026, 11:49:54 PM31 trades$62,0205 min
6/14/2026, 9:28:21 AM3 trades$53,4770 min
6/18/2026, 5:05:38 PM50 trades$52,8414 min
6/20/2026, 7:28:25 PM30 trades$43,0473 min
6/23/2026, 1:18:56 AM6 trades$41,0004 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-19
06-20
06-23
06-25
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 103.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M3.1 / H93