@Cellulose

#23,99378

0x6096feb8b802dfa6885ce70572f851142e810f9c

~55d· 849 markets · 74931 tradesVol: $3,066,2212026-08-02 04:05:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (773/818)20/20
1.11x (win $141,301 / loss $127,352)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.06115/15
Sortino 3.09810/10
$+0.4639 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 98 (818 markets)10/10
34/51 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($9,633 / $13,949)0.2/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+5,320
DCA Master
Avg 91.1 entries/market
Consistent
34/51 profitable days
Win Streak
57 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#3,424$1,751Vol: $2,823,294
SPORTS#12,581$3,544Vol: $227,281
🌤️ WEATHER#290,140$-195Vol: $12,837
CRYPTO#1,012,382$-4Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,320
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,066,221
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
849
total markets
Trades
1262B / 73669S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,320
Vol: $3,066,221

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
773W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$5,320
Win Rate
95%
773W / 45L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-2,962

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,635 (4.066688596697338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury$14,441
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$4,237
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$2,956
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2,180
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2,002
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$1,996
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$1,860
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$1,804
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1,780
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1,666

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-12,538
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-11,424
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-10,027
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-9,474
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$-8,937
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-8,349
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$-6,346
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky$-4,700
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-4,407
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$-4,395

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.113
HHI
463
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.464
Kelly %
52.9%
Half-Kelly
26.5%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
36.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
156.8
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
157 min
Avg Trades / Session
566.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 3.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock157 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
91.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 10:39:09 AM5167 trades$14,745429 min
7/17/2026, 7:12:28 PM31 trades$8,9608 min
4/3/2026, 5:54:13 PM1130 trades$5,063224 min
7/17/2026, 7:33:03 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
2/28/2026, 12:16:17 PM1385 trades$4,158356 min
2/24/2026, 4:26:24 PM1134 trades$3,269356 min
4/4/2026, 5:26:57 AM552 trades$2,566194 min
4/1/2026, 2:35:21 PM1339 trades$2,349195 min
2/20/2026, 6:30:42 PM912 trades$2,304290 min
2/20/2026, 2:41:30 PM670 trades$1,827221 min
7/17/2026, 7:27:37 PM3 trades$1,8000 min
2/21/2026, 11:40:54 AM637 trades$1,766278 min
3/7/2026, 8:16:15 AM879 trades$1,747267 min
2/28/2026, 7:20:37 AM652 trades$1,722202 min
3/11/2026, 3:09:43 AM699 trades$1,671220 min
2/16/2026, 4:39:41 PM836 trades$1,626191 min
4/8/2026, 2:51:41 PM315 trades$1,55076 min
3/11/2026, 6:55:23 AM589 trades$1,372209 min
3/12/2026, 4:43:33 AM541 trades$1,248216 min
2/17/2026, 4:52:25 AM580 trades$1,192187 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
02-24
03-04
03-12
03-25
04-02
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
98.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 91.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M4.3 / H95.7