@coldsway

#3,071,34111

0x640de3430e9a05e1b1fe04b42d651da1abe99a4c

~3d· 4 markets · 1902 tradesVol: $50,678,8822026-08-02 04:06:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (2/4)10/20
0.59x (win $3,829,408 / loss $6,479,664)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.4222 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2579 (4 markets)0/10
1/3 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,341,202 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
97% entries < $0.55
Whale
$6,277,913 invested
High Roller
$627,791/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,882,604$-10,808,589Vol: $50,678,882

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,808,589
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,678,882
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4
total markets
Trades
664B / 1238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~3d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-10,808,589
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$1,914,704
Avg Loss
$-3,239,832

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,829,408 (0.3542930499120217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$2,138,462
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$1,690,946

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-3,476,559
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-3,003,105

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.371
Sortino
-0.750
HHI
2574
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.422
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
190.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
5/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
8
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
237.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
50% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 4.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern5/24 hours — normal schedule190 trades/day — automation0.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
475.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)97.4%
High (>55c)2.6%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:56:07 PM555 trades$2,949,1235 min
6/27/2026, 10:02:01 PM344 trades$1,868,1754 min
7/6/2026, 11:07:11 PM284 trades$1,866,6686 min
6/27/2026, 11:05:04 PM273 trades$1,614,79512 min
6/27/2026, 5:19:26 PM151 trades$1,400,1481 min
6/27/2026, 5:11:58 PM221 trades$782,3342 min
7/6/2026, 11:21:02 PM25 trades$484,9351 min
6/27/2026, 8:58:29 PM49 trades$86,7812 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
07-01
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 475.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M97.4 / H2.6