Agentstvonasilia

@Agentstvonasilia

#3,060,91810

0x6413bd26ffa5fcca38b93e4e5b8f3303ca32ab24

~51d· 55 markets · 1940 tradesVol: $784,3872026-08-02 06:25:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (17/48)2.7/20
0.09x (win $3,809 / loss $44,765)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.7670/15
Sortino -10.6740/10
$-0.5945 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 981 (48 markets)7.6/10
4/21 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 15168967% of peak ($40,956 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Whale
$68,887 invested
High Roller
$1,230/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,628$-13,313Vol: $549,412
💻 TECH#255,839$-679Vol: $129,430
🎭 CULTURE#809,754$-970Vol: $77,098
CRYPTO#1,600,703$-681Vol: $16,803
📈 ECONOMICS#237,498$0Vol: $8,516
💰 FINANCE#58,933$9Vol: $3,127

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15,635
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$784,387
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
1025B / 915S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-85
Vol: $132
Week
$-220
Vol: $132
Month
$-117
Vol: $1,347
All Time
$-15,635
Vol: $784,387

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
17W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-15,635
Win Rate
35%
17W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-1,444

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,658 (0.16999297726758147% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,461
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$784
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$412
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$328
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$297
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$279
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$72
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$68
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$22

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,312
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-6,979
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-4,070
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-2,778
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$-2,623
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-2,510
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-2,239
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-2,205
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,907
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-1,644

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.652
Sortino
-0.649
HHI
548
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.623
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
42.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)33%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 7:08:27 PM37 trades$30,1824 min
6/13/2026, 1:23:16 PM35 trades$25,3369 min
6/24/2026, 8:05:11 PM6 trades$10,3593 min
6/17/2026, 12:31:13 PM23 trades$9,8871 min
6/14/2026, 4:17:18 AM32 trades$9,4806 min
6/13/2026, 4:04:31 PM41 trades$7,9970 min
6/19/2026, 3:13:34 AM30 trades$7,24614 min
6/14/2026, 9:19:15 PM65 trades$6,5505 min
6/18/2026, 3:36:38 AM24 trades$6,2673 min
6/25/2026, 2:49:31 PM17 trades$4,9331 min
6/20/2026, 1:27:40 PM2 trades$3,9540 min
6/20/2026, 1:20:08 PM5 trades$3,5680 min
6/17/2026, 10:22:31 PM19 trades$3,4801 min
6/17/2026, 11:31:55 PM4 trades$2,4630 min
6/11/2026, 1:16:40 PM20 trades$2,35516 min
7/9/2026, 5:17:49 PM23 trades$2,2573 min
6/13/2026, 3:36:55 PM9 trades$2,2481 min
7/13/2026, 2:11:52 PM19 trades$2,1811 min
6/24/2026, 5:22:49 AM15 trades$2,1361 min
6/14/2026, 3:53:37 AM17 trades$2,0291 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-15
06-18
06-25
06-28
07-08
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.3 / M10.7 / H33