@0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376

#2,967,19759

0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b

~65d· 51 markets · 1763 tradesVol: $484,3222026-08-02 04:12:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (23/49)8.5/20
1.29x (win $48,313 / loss $37,427)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.43115/15
Sortino 2.05910/10
$+0.0602 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 898 (49 markets)8/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($17,920 / $28,806)1.6/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 35.4 entries/market
Whale
$180,833 invested
High Roller
$1,494/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,521
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$484,322
Total Redeem
$39,914
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
579B / 1184S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
23W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-1,910
Win Rate
47%
23W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$2,101
Avg Loss
$-1,701

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,917 (18.285690345893013% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$15,636
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$14,606
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$4,676
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$2,453
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,239
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1,973
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$1,766
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$1,462
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$658
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$632

Top Losers

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$-17,857
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-7,171
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-3,241
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-1,587
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$-998
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-917
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-906
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-749
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-651
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-530

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.073
Sortino
0.075
HHI
891
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 336s — normal for humanCV 5.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)47%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 9:44:32 PM3 trades$66,6670 min
4/26/2026, 4:27:26 PM18 trades$42,0710 min
5/4/2026, 7:40:38 AM4 trades$20,0001 min
6/1/2026, 11:09:39 PM18 trades$17,7726 min
4/14/2026, 3:02:09 AM13 trades$16,6563 min
7/3/2026, 12:01:46 AM2 trades$12,1960 min
5/1/2026, 12:09:02 PM23 trades$11,6060 min
6/25/2026, 2:26:28 PM12 trades$11,5621 min
5/31/2026, 9:50:13 PM2 trades$10,2860 min
4/2/2026, 11:27:13 PM4 trades$10,1971 min
5/31/2026, 11:09:59 PM3 trades$9,8300 min
4/14/2026, 9:07:32 PM7 trades$8,6970 min
6/25/2026, 2:20:52 PM17 trades$7,0940 min
4/14/2026, 2:26:19 AM8 trades$7,0077 min
6/25/2026, 2:37:59 PM42 trades$6,4271 min
7/9/2026, 9:24:04 PM5 trades$6,2920 min
6/14/2026, 10:00:09 PM30 trades$6,2801 min
4/14/2026, 9:34:39 AM16 trades$5,7601 min
5/15/2026, 7:28:08 PM2 trades$5,6260 min
5/27/2026, 7:45:01 AM7 trades$4,8421 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-27
05-03
05-08
06-01
06-25
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M43.2 / H47