@04da

#126,59155

0x6568988ee8cfb25ce0467df4c2699050be49978e

~15d· 25 markets · 98 tradesVol: $39,1872026-08-02 11:28:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (5/17)0/20
1.53x (win $3,548 / loss $2,315)9.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.70815/15
Sortino 7.22110/10
$+0.1765 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 1016 (17 markets)7.4/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($1,116 / $2,349)4.5/10

Badges

1
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#49,884$163Vol: $10,177
🌤️ WEATHER#295,490$-607Vol: $10,064
💰 FINANCE#5,422$688Vol: $9,454
💻 TECH#249,780$-123Vol: $7,138
📈 ECONOMICS#15,628$66Vol: $1,200
CRYPTO#65,384$198Vol: $954
🎭 CULTURE#45,786$23Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$408
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,187
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
82B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$408
Vol: $39,187

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
5W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-149
Win Rate
29%
5W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$710
Avg Loss
$-193

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,872 (19.320392922021124% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?$1,981
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$469
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$421
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?$397
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$280

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$-661
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?$-235
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-216
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-207
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$-171
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?$-167
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026$-159
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-150
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$-122
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.442
HHI
546
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.247
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 7:50:10 AM21 trades$1,2903 min
7/16/2026, 6:54:35 PM7 trades$7000 min
7/9/2026, 11:58:34 AM2 trades$6363 min
7/8/2026, 9:44:43 PM5 trades$5491 min
7/8/2026, 2:35:46 PM10 trades$5357 min
6/22/2026, 8:24:26 PM1 trades$4710 min
7/14/2026, 2:07:38 PM3 trades$3000 min
7/10/2026, 6:58:16 PM4 trades$2720 min
7/2/2026, 1:24:07 PM2 trades$2224 min
6/24/2026, 4:55:17 PM2 trades$2163 min
7/2/2026, 3:05:04 PM2 trades$1950 min
7/8/2026, 9:58:07 PM1 trades$1870 min
6/21/2026, 6:18:16 PM3 trades$1710 min
6/29/2026, 2:01:22 PM2 trades$1670 min
7/10/2026, 5:30:44 PM1 trades$1620 min
6/22/2026, 7:38:43 PM2 trades$1570 min
7/10/2026, 5:04:19 PM1 trades$1500 min
7/9/2026, 6:44:07 AM4 trades$1331 min
7/8/2026, 3:38:46 PM1 trades$1320 min
7/8/2026, 9:16:43 PM1 trades$1240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-24
06-27
06-29
07-04
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-14
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M34.1 / H50