@NedStark

#81,56610

0x659a532ceac28a0a4af3994ee89d333ed2e69568

~248d· 61 markets · 6398 tradesVol: $575,1252026-08-02 09:31:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (9/28)1.1/20
0.73x (win $212 / loss $289)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5560/15
Sortino -1.8570/10
$-0.0075 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1140 (28 markets)6.8/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($255 / $178)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+998
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#17,643$1,029Vol: $570,355
📈 ECONOMICS#27,018$23Vol: $1,013
SPORTS#1,540,110$-34Vol: $386
CRYPTO#595,052$0Vol: $257
💰 FINANCE#56,470$10Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$998
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$575,125
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
4175B / 2223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~248d

Periods

#2
Today
$118
Vol: $3,550
Week
$68
Vol: $3,550
Month
$81
Vol: $9,660
All Time
$998
Vol: $575,125

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
9W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$998
Win Rate
32%
9W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $161 (0.16175439299525138% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$112
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$26
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$19
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$17
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?$1
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$-176
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$-10
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$-10
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-9
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-9
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?$-8
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.079
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
9.6%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 582s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.5%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)7.5%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 11:48:11 PM11 trades$51313 min
7/19/2026, 3:49:58 AM3 trades$5000 min
6/5/2026, 10:32:22 PM11 trades$4689 min
5/21/2026, 6:38:58 PM13 trades$4104 min
4/18/2026, 1:19:16 AM6 trades$4000 min
7/13/2026, 12:17:44 AM7 trades$3812 min
6/4/2026, 1:39:43 AM12 trades$2813 min
4/14/2026, 11:43:00 PM11 trades$2794 min
7/15/2026, 12:54:52 AM9 trades$2254 min
7/11/2026, 8:00:14 PM7 trades$2199 min
6/16/2026, 4:13:29 PM12 trades$2062 min
7/31/2026, 10:30:03 PM19 trades$2059 min
6/22/2026, 1:24:02 AM6 trades$1910 min
5/26/2026, 12:47:53 AM4 trades$1720 min
6/11/2026, 8:43:31 PM5 trades$1713 min
6/7/2026, 1:17:58 AM9 trades$1631 min
7/2/2026, 1:59:37 PM9 trades$1615 min
6/10/2026, 12:07:04 AM7 trades$1535 min
4/12/2026, 10:16:19 PM6 trades$1330 min
5/26/2026, 1:12:23 AM5 trades$1211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-20
03-08
04-19
06-08
06-21
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.5 / M1 / H7.5