Johnnybegoodtonight

@Johnnybegoodtonight

#2,810,95010

0x6628c01757b3dbe1c4587dc80684e3c18215c77e

~15d· 162 markets · 500 tradesVol: $58,3812026-08-02 07:44:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (12/162)0/20
0.19x (win $176 / loss $935)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.2570/15
Sortino -10.8920/10
$-1.0943 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 452 (162 markets)10/10
0/15 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($759 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,775,071$-344Vol: $54,933
CRYPTO#1,345,470$-36Vol: $3,448

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-380
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,381
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
230B / 270S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
12W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$-380
Win Rate
7%
12W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $91 (0.23808522383743852% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?$46
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?$27
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?$18
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$18
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$15
Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$13
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?$12
Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5$12
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$9

Top Losers

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5$-60
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-36
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-30
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?$-30
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5$-30
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-24
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$-22
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.670
Sortino
-0.670
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.7
Active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity22 trades/day — high frequency7.0 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)20%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:14:13 AM4 trades$2,0001 min
7/3/2026, 11:27:22 AM12 trades$9476 min
6/27/2026, 8:13:37 PM34 trades$57912 min
6/27/2026, 12:54:10 AM39 trades$46415 min
7/3/2026, 7:30:07 PM3 trades$3980 min
6/27/2026, 12:27:28 AM31 trades$3699 min
7/3/2026, 8:11:44 AM4 trades$3530 min
7/5/2026, 1:26:14 AM14 trades$3522 min
7/3/2026, 8:47:59 AM3 trades$3330 min
6/28/2026, 2:18:32 AM12 trades$2837 min
6/27/2026, 12:14:19 AM16 trades$2616 min
7/5/2026, 2:25:26 PM2 trades$2410 min
6/28/2026, 4:11:56 AM16 trades$2195 min
7/4/2026, 11:45:25 PM3 trades$2090 min
7/7/2026, 6:08:29 PM8 trades$1925 min
6/27/2026, 9:33:47 AM8 trades$1811 min
7/7/2026, 10:03:05 PM12 trades$1346 min
6/27/2026, 3:22:55 AM16 trades$1006 min
7/1/2026, 10:47:02 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/28/2026, 12:21:50 AM9 trades$9913 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-29
07-01
07-03
07-05
07-07
07-11
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.7 / M11.3 / H20