XXFOSTER

@XXFOSTER

#2,989,18417

0x666aa2d4371400963ce20be2f979247f7cc9da22

~58d· 68 markets · 1378 tradesVol: $65,3822026-08-02 06:25:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (29/64)7.7/20
0.29x (win $997 / loss $3,433)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1880/15
Sortino -5.1380/10
$-0.3027 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1080 (64 markets)7.1/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 4378% of peak ($2,505 / $57)0/10

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
10% sells
DCA Master
Avg 18.0 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,511,355$-154Vol: $55,330
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,778$-1,813Vol: $8,913
📈 ECONOMICS#22,382$33Vol: $814
SPORTS#1,404,005$-14Vol: $326

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,948
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,382
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
1246B / 132S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $80
Week
$-74
Vol: $80
Month
$2
Vol: $450
All Time
$-1,948
Vol: $65,382

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
29W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-1,949
Win Rate
45%
29W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $606 (0.31065759637188206% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$360
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9AM ET$166
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET$66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$31
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$25

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,463
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-358
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$-238
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-189
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$-151
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9AM ET$-117
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2PM ET$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1PM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.266
Sortino
-0.216
HHI
510
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.373
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 2.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 12:11:06 PM14 trades$2,7708 min
6/8/2026, 10:49:58 AM12 trades$9311 min
6/4/2026, 12:48:34 PM23 trades$77710 min
6/17/2026, 7:33:32 AM5 trades$5051 min
6/1/2026, 11:09:48 AM10 trades$5024 min
6/15/2026, 11:14:16 AM6 trades$4923 min
6/3/2026, 4:03:12 PM7 trades$3788 min
6/3/2026, 3:50:21 PM9 trades$3175 min
6/11/2026, 1:09:13 PM3 trades$2890 min
6/1/2026, 11:02:30 AM2 trades$2780 min
6/10/2026, 8:23:10 AM10 trades$2622 min
6/15/2026, 12:03:09 PM4 trades$2000 min
6/11/2026, 9:15:48 AM7 trades$1967 min
6/8/2026, 11:00:36 AM2 trades$1620 min
6/11/2026, 12:22:52 PM4 trades$1583 min
7/28/2026, 5:02:10 PM112 trades$15638 min
7/14/2026, 1:40:59 PM34 trades$1535 min
7/28/2026, 1:46:11 PM13 trades$1526 min
7/14/2026, 1:14:50 PM16 trades$13510 min
7/28/2026, 1:21:50 PM65 trades$11413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-10
06-17
07-02
07-06
07-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.6 / M18.5 / H58.9