@lcarroll

#1,623,41969

0x66962fb9e684c7c28b13c070d2785d03832e3aaa

~42d· 48 markets · 328 tradesVol: $272,0452026-08-02 05:11:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (24/47)10.5/20
40.89x (win $184 / loss $5)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.70015/15
Sortino 179.78110/10
$+0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3398 (47 markets)0/10
20/32 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($3 / $180)10/10

Badges

6
Whale
$269,705 invested
Consistent
20/32 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,105,792$-4Vol: $271,924
CRYPTO#981,893$-3Vol: $74
💰 FINANCE#174,269$0Vol: $16
SPORTS#597,289$-0Vol: $13
🎭 CULTURE#245,692$0Vol: $8
💻 TECH#124,350$0Vol: $6
📈 ECONOMICS#97,455$1Vol: $3
🌤️ WEATHER#111,847$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$272,045
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
292B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5
Vol: $272,045

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
24W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
51%
24W / 23L
Profit Factor
40.89x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $182 (35.46198830409357% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$67
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$63
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$52
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?$1
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?$0
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on March 3?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$0

Top Losers

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?$-3
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$-1
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?$-0
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?$-0
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?$-0
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?$-0
USDT depeg in 2025?$-0
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?$-0
Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?$-0
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.242
Sortino
5.228
HHI
345
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.0m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)99%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 6:51:31 AM143 trades$183,86426 min
7/13/2026, 12:43:23 PM80 trades$53,71027 min
7/18/2026, 6:42:28 AM26 trades$29,4074 min
7/18/2026, 7:26:10 AM6 trades$2,6171 min
10/16/2025, 10:28:09 PM3 trades$97 min
9/8/2025, 8:38:50 AM4 trades$88 min
10/16/2025, 10:18:25 PM1 trades$70 min
9/21/2025, 3:06:20 AM1 trades$70 min
1/18/2025, 1:03:27 PM1 trades$60 min
1/18/2025, 1:43:01 PM1 trades$60 min
9/28/2025, 5:35:21 PM1 trades$60 min
1/7/2025, 5:07:15 AM1 trades$60 min
1/7/2025, 5:15:11 AM1 trades$60 min
1/6/2025, 11:14:15 AM1 trades$60 min
1/6/2025, 11:29:25 AM1 trades$60 min
8/26/2025, 2:38:29 PM1 trades$60 min
1/11/2025, 10:06:51 AM1 trades$50 min
1/11/2025, 10:50:08 AM1 trades$50 min
1/7/2025, 1:31:41 AM1 trades$50 min
1/7/2025, 1:42:53 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-17
02-11
03-03
05-14
08-26
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M0.7 / H99