shmeba

@shmeba

#9,66576

0x6725d56690fbe9ba9f301997cef4b503f1cd1bf9

~115d· 292 markets · 3155 tradesVol: $413,1502026-08-02 05:19:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (99/281)2.6/20
3.55x (win $54,746 / loss $15,406)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.00115/15
Sortino 35.43210/10
$+0.8194 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 255 (281 markets)10/10
40/91 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($1,921 / $39,682)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+15,831
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#3,007$13,400Vol: $246,329
🎭 CULTURE#4,331$1,251Vol: $51,167
📢 MENTIONS#164,130$-102Vol: $19,826
SPORTS#1,628,595$-66Vol: $16,145
📈 ECONOMICS#7,189$255Vol: $15,843
CRYPTO#39,016$616Vol: $11,435
🌤️ WEATHER#2,906$424Vol: $8,290
💻 TECH#250,849$-152Vol: $6,339
💰 FINANCE#9,320$316Vol: $5,049

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$413,150
Total Redeem
$522
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
292
total markets
Trades
917B / 2238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$-320
Vol: $1,768
Week
$1,286
Vol: $1,768
Month
$-90
Vol: $5,074
All Time
$15,831
Vol: $413,150

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
98W / 181L events
Realized PnL
$15,831
Win Rate
35%
98W / 181L
Profit Factor
3.55x
Avg Win
$553
Avg Loss
$-88

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,991 (1.7049714983096074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$17,601
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$6,088
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$3,301
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3,069
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,544
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$2,339
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2,297
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$1,702
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$1,264
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1,059

Top Losers

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,057
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-731
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-665
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-591
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-551
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-550
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-407
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-355
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-327
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$-317

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
1.801
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.883
Kelly %
2.5%
Half-Kelly
1.3%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
22.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2275s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)33.2%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 6:02:42 PM2 trades$14,4180 min
4/27/2026, 4:43:26 PM4 trades$6,0002 min
6/4/2026, 2:48:48 AM4 trades$5,6281 min
4/27/2026, 9:00:20 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/12/2026, 8:35:40 PM7 trades$5,0000 min
6/5/2026, 1:24:01 AM520 trades$5,0000 min
6/17/2026, 11:48:55 PM7 trades$4,9335 min
5/23/2026, 4:12:36 AM4 trades$4,4110 min
6/17/2026, 10:14:52 PM3 trades$3,6112 min
6/17/2026, 12:15:46 PM3 trades$3,3330 min
6/4/2026, 10:40:03 PM4 trades$3,0100 min
5/16/2026, 4:00:14 AM2 trades$2,5220 min
5/23/2026, 11:40:07 PM4 trades$2,5030 min
6/26/2026, 1:36:22 PM6 trades$2,2880 min
7/2/2026, 3:18:46 AM2 trades$2,1230 min
6/17/2026, 11:59:05 PM5 trades$2,0890 min
5/23/2026, 8:38:50 AM17 trades$2,0818 min
6/24/2026, 12:14:13 PM16 trades$1,6560 min
5/3/2026, 12:45:36 AM7 trades$1,6264 min
7/18/2026, 11:36:21 AM15 trades$1,6080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-24
05-13
05-29
06-15
07-07
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M31.3 / H33.2