@jerry-alderan

#2,725,8257

0x67e3660ef6ab8230136eafa9208755336e0c62f7

~11d· 8 markets · 81 tradesVol: $52,4232026-08-02 04:14:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (1/3)1.7/20
0.03x (win $3 / loss $108)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1084 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4179 (3 markets)0/10
1/2 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 3595% of peak ($108 / $3)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,565,182$-217Vol: $52,023
CRYPTO#1,008,001$-4Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-221
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,423
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
48B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
1W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-221
Win Rate
33%
1W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.01356300013563% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$3

Top Losers

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$-62
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.686
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)6.2%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 9:34:04 PM21 trades$1,6550 min
3/16/2026, 10:22:35 PM8 trades$3006 min
3/28/2026, 8:25:48 PM1 trades$1240 min
3/15/2026, 9:16:41 PM13 trades$12415 min
3/28/2026, 8:13:44 PM1 trades$990 min
3/16/2026, 10:58:25 PM2 trades$863 min
3/21/2026, 6:13:49 AM2 trades$763 min
2/26/2026, 5:01:56 AM4 trades$633 min
3/16/2026, 9:28:13 PM8 trades$6311 min
3/13/2026, 11:23:05 PM5 trades$623 min
3/16/2026, 9:22:31 PM1 trades$530 min
3/30/2026, 5:42:57 PM1 trades$500 min
3/8/2026, 11:18:35 AM3 trades$493 min
3/18/2026, 3:38:33 PM1 trades$470 min
3/21/2026, 6:34:35 PM2 trades$452 min
3/24/2026, 11:46:49 AM1 trades$110 min
3/16/2026, 10:17:23 PM4 trades$90 min
3/24/2026, 10:14:05 PM1 trades$70 min
3/24/2026, 6:17:41 AM1 trades$40 min
3/24/2026, 8:12:41 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.6 / M4.2 / H6.2