Kropanev

@Kropanev

#2,732,22255

0x683cdb3e79536e9eec0ff8d8f8251af1a7d30308

~48d· 137 markets · 881 tradesVol: $21,9522026-08-02 06:34:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (43/101)6.3/20
1.40x (win $398 / loss $285)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.36515/15
Sortino 6.25710/10
$+0.0905 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 1385 (101 markets)5.6/10
13/35 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($103 / $206)4/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,584,105$-48Vol: $8,374
🏛️ POLITICS#1,365,464$-19Vol: $6,545
🌤️ WEATHER#289,004$-165Vol: $2,150
📈 ECONOMICS#68,538$3Vol: $339
🎭 CULTURE#669,264$-8Vol: $36
CRYPTO#1,039,250$-5Vol: $36
💻 TECH#27,204$4Vol: $33

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-229
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,952
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
457B / 424S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $9
Week
$-169
Vol: $9
Month
$-38
Vol: $309
All Time
$-229
Vol: $21,952

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
43W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-228
Win Rate
43%
43W / 58L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $192 (0.8436773542699242% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner$66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$63
Spread: Norway (-2.5)$23
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$20
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner$19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 30?$18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$9
Spread: France (-1.5)$8

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$-26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-23
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-20
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$-16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 28?$-10
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.385
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 393s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)49.9%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 12:14:17 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/28/2026, 10:46:17 AM12 trades$4301 min
7/23/2026, 7:53:24 PM29 trades$2302 min
7/19/2026, 6:39:13 PM2 trades$1430 min
7/23/2026, 11:57:10 PM38 trades$13913 min
7/23/2026, 9:28:15 PM61 trades$1200 min
7/11/2026, 8:35:46 PM5 trades$1143 min
7/9/2026, 1:52:01 PM20 trades$1011 min
7/24/2026, 12:49:12 AM28 trades$8316 min
7/24/2026, 7:20:52 PM4 trades$800 min
7/28/2026, 11:05:37 AM6 trades$730 min
7/16/2026, 6:08:34 PM20 trades$722 min
7/22/2026, 8:35:24 PM8 trades$699 min
7/12/2026, 8:00:53 PM35 trades$653 min
6/16/2026, 6:36:12 AM2 trades$650 min
6/12/2026, 8:42:10 AM2 trades$650 min
7/28/2026, 8:33:50 PM4 trades$571 min
6/9/2026, 6:58:27 AM6 trades$574 min
5/31/2026, 8:14:59 PM4 trades$530 min
7/5/2026, 9:20:04 PM33 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-04
06-17
06-24
07-07
07-14
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.2 / M24.9 / H49.9