@ImNotBetting

#63,70278

0x686d5bfc5aee6aaed7bf6a11baef5b57e57d1a68

~286d· 774 markets · 3859 tradesVol: $74,0682026-08-02 08:56:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (253/618)5.5/20
1.86x (win $3,009 / loss $1,618)13.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.40815/15
Sortino 12.69310/10
$+0.2068 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 238 (618 markets)10/10
100/213 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($173 / $1,426)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,506
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#13,723$1,524Vol: $59,594
⚽ SPORTS#1,653,148$-83Vol: $11,458
🎭 CULTURE#19,903$109Vol: $2,115
💰 FINANCE#389,941$-0Vol: $92
💻 TECH#223,984$-9Vol: $38
📢 MENTIONS#94,744$-2Vol: $13
📈 ECONOMICS#568,221$-5Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,514
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,068
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
774
total markets
Trades
2042B / 1817S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~286d

Periods

#2
Today
$22
Vol: $0
Week
$151
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $257
All Time
$1,514
Vol: $74,068

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
253W / 365L events
Realized PnL
$1,506
Win Rate
41%
253W / 365L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $429 (0.2849061489532637% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$162
Will Ashley Trail be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?$139
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$128
Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?$124
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$118
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?$117
Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?$117
Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$105
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$89
Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?$79

Top Losers

Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$-52
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$-41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-35
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$-34
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-31
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-28
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-26
World Cup: Scoreless Team?$-26
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$-25
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.178
Sortino
0.605
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.323
Kelly %
8.0%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 133s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)19.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 2:41:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/22/2026, 6:53:07 PM11 trades$5099 min
7/1/2026, 2:11:02 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/21/2026, 12:38:18 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/13/2026, 3:03:17 PM30 trades$33117 min
7/8/2026, 9:33:17 PM6 trades$3054 min
6/10/2026, 11:14:37 AM53 trades$24924 min
7/29/2026, 2:28:11 AM5 trades$2333 min
5/20/2026, 2:01:04 AM18 trades$2323 min
7/20/2026, 5:26:49 PM8 trades$2180 min
6/3/2026, 1:52:25 AM16 trades$2144 min
5/31/2026, 9:50:22 PM12 trades$1953 min
6/30/2026, 1:43:55 PM12 trades$1906 min
6/4/2026, 2:21:06 PM18 trades$17815 min
6/19/2026, 5:55:08 AM8 trades$1724 min
6/24/2026, 1:42:25 AM2 trades$1670 min
7/25/2026, 12:07:58 PM2 trades$1670 min
4/3/2026, 1:04:07 AM31 trades$16613 min
6/10/2026, 11:44:09 AM29 trades$16414 min
7/4/2026, 10:07:55 PM6 trades$1563 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
10-14
12-26
03-03
04-23
06-11
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.1 / M37.8 / H19.1