ohwell

@ohwell

#15,62856

0x69026a45418ad2440911d95beb1deacc739d678c

~338d· 328 markets · 2108 tradesVol: $1,768,2602026-08-02 08:03:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (158/325)9.3/20
1.19x (win $70,375 / loss $59,348)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.78414.7/15
Sortino 1.04510/10
$+0.0379 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 211 (325 markets)10/10
91/175 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($22,046 / $21,616)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,316
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$290,913 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#4,071$9,167Vol: $1,108,012
📈 ECONOMICS#680,984$-3,944Vol: $329,476
🎭 CULTURE#3,166$1,940Vol: $102,877
CRYPTO#17,086$2,537Vol: $56,574
🌤️ WEATHER#297,890$-1,764Vol: $32,342
📢 MENTIONS#4,722$153Vol: $26,672
💰 FINANCE#12,866$186Vol: $10,334
💻 TECH#3,124$292Vol: $4,700
SPORTS#59,845$447Vol: $3,169

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,768,260
Total Redeem
$498
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
328
total markets
Trades
1627B / 481S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~338d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-102
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$9,316
Vol: $1,768,260

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
158W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$9,316
Win Rate
49%
158W / 167L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$445
Avg Loss
$-360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,816 (2.1270737150346553% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed rate cut by May 1?$9,018
Fed rate cut by June 12?$6,833
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$3,965
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$2,561
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$2,130
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1,980
Fed rate cut by July 31?$1,477
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?$1,455
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?$1,319
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1,089

Top Losers

Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$-8,634
Fed rate cut by September 18?$-4,241
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$-2,853
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-2,728
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?$-2,390
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$-2,105
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$-1,625
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?$-1,619
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$-1,456
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$-1,399

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.040
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1064s — normal for humanCV 2.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)29.4%

Sessions

#12
12/18/2024, 7:41:15 AM1 trades$18,7660 min
10/8/2025, 4:19:52 AM1 trades$11,7140 min
5/25/2024, 12:50:22 PM21 trades$9,29719 min
1/5/2025, 2:52:13 AM3 trades$9,1125 min
2/23/2025, 2:43:35 PM23 trades$8,37120 min
12/18/2024, 10:30:13 AM1 trades$6,8580 min
2/23/2025, 5:02:28 PM8 trades$5,7696 min
7/22/2024, 6:36:59 PM1 trades$5,6460 min
3/13/2024, 12:26:18 PM3 trades$5,3202 min
2/23/2025, 3:19:02 PM31 trades$4,91720 min
5/5/2024, 8:41:54 AM3 trades$4,7015 min
4/19/2024, 4:13:49 AM7 trades$4,4178 min
2/23/2025, 3:09:32 PM7 trades$4,2543 min
3/13/2024, 12:51:16 PM1 trades$3,9400 min
10/26/2024, 8:30:25 PM1 trades$3,6120 min
10/6/2024, 2:22:13 PM1 trades$3,5500 min
7/11/2024, 12:33:16 PM7 trades$3,4048 min
7/22/2024, 6:42:31 PM1 trades$3,3130 min
7/22/2024, 6:47:49 PM1 trades$3,2480 min
8/13/2024, 3:07:03 PM1 trades$3,1740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
04-10
08-11
10-22
02-13
07-13
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.3 / M28.3 / H29.4