@Clayton-Fox

#2,826,6730

0x69409bbe9fde5d71ff469b8cfaedcb107f94b1e3

~17d· 48 markets · 362 tradesVol: $116,1692026-08-02 06:52:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (3/48)0/20
0.30x (win $202 / loss $668)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8940/15
Sortino -5.2500/10
$-0.6025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6546 (48 markets)0/10
1/16 profitable days (6%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($668 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
📢 MENTIONS#170,133$-252Vol: $75,132
🎭 CULTURE#784,649$-116Vol: $29,338
🏛️ POLITICS#1,466,188$-51Vol: $9,718
CRYPTO#1,120,318$-9Vol: $1,705
📈 ECONOMICS#443,924$-1Vol: $167
💻 TECH#200,947$-2Vol: $111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,169
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
99B / 263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-431
Vol: $116,169

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
3W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-431
Win Rate
6%
3W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202 (0.4683350357507661% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?$202

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-319
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?$-51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?$-39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?$-32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?$-26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?$-23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?$-20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?$-20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.248
Sortino
-0.256
HHI
1445
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.603
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.5%
Top-5 markets
65.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 133s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.54
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)15.2%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 4:40:45 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
5/21/2026, 5:22:06 AM6 trades$6,3003 min
5/21/2026, 4:17:37 AM18 trades$3,6412 min
6/24/2026, 2:06:34 PM14 trades$2,8218 min
5/18/2026, 8:01:41 AM10 trades$2,8030 min
6/17/2026, 5:43:28 PM10 trades$2,0207 min
6/24/2026, 1:46:17 PM10 trades$1,1581 min
5/15/2026, 7:48:42 PM44 trades$1,15210 min
5/16/2026, 7:48:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/25/2026, 8:15:52 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 3:57:23 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/18/2026, 7:42:12 AM11 trades$9445 min
5/16/2026, 1:34:09 AM7 trades$7762 min
5/21/2026, 4:54:26 AM24 trades$7351 min
5/20/2026, 8:52:18 PM6 trades$7343 min
6/24/2026, 6:17:11 AM14 trades$4322 min
6/22/2026, 7:03:02 AM35 trades$4038 min
5/16/2026, 4:42:59 PM6 trades$3901 min
5/16/2026, 7:30:02 AM6 trades$3151 min
5/20/2026, 4:51:14 AM4 trades$2930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
05-17
05-20
06-17
06-19
06-23
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.8 / M0 / H15.2