@winelavkakz

#3,022,66461

0x6959d607aeac901f421b5001bc0028798e825575

~77d· 85 markets · 1371 tradesVol: $186,9602026-08-02 05:18:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (49/75)17.7/20
1.13x (win $10,654 / loss $9,457)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.61311.5/15
Sortino 0.7227.2/10
$+0.0094 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 333 (75 markets)10/10
38/50 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($3,100 / $2,545)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 65%
DCA Master
Avg 17.0 entries/market
Whale
$127,880 invested
Consistent
38/50 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,395,443$-24Vol: $141,008
📈 ECONOMICS#8,352$196Vol: $20,131
SPORTS#1,716,576$-151Vol: $11,672
CRYPTO#1,652,440$-2,471Vol: $9,700
💰 FINANCE#651,445$-756Vol: $4,450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,205
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$186,960
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
523B / 848S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$74
Vol: $0
Week
$162
Vol: $0
Month
$148
Vol: $224
All Time
$-3,205
Vol: $186,960

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
49W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-3,205
Win Rate
65%
49W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$217
Avg Loss
$-411

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,833 (1.1961302521795025% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2,030
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$941
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$862
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$614
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$590
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$491
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$476
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?$380
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$373
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$338

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-3,100
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,997
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-784
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-736
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-352
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$-341
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-263
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-230
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-109
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?$-103

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.032
Sortino
0.021
HHI
280
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)82%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 9:58:17 AM18 trades$14,1747 min
6/26/2026, 7:03:44 AM17 trades$9,68311 min
5/4/2026, 6:27:06 PM12 trades$5,2108 min
3/20/2026, 1:11:09 PM4 trades$5,0867 min
5/31/2026, 2:25:45 PM7 trades$4,5211 min
5/24/2026, 9:33:57 AM6 trades$4,2570 min
5/6/2026, 7:23:48 PM7 trades$4,2471 min
4/13/2026, 5:10:49 PM32 trades$3,5306 min
4/22/2026, 3:00:16 PM12 trades$3,4954 min
6/1/2026, 12:02:07 PM5 trades$3,2925 min
5/11/2026, 8:02:32 AM52 trades$3,2395 min
7/29/2026, 1:59:45 PM15 trades$3,2142 min
6/18/2026, 8:07:40 AM13 trades$3,0328 min
6/2/2026, 9:49:52 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
7/2/2026, 8:00:13 PM4 trades$2,9961 min
7/31/2026, 11:55:12 AM4 trades$2,9541 min
5/28/2026, 9:24:10 AM13 trades$2,9071 min
5/25/2026, 5:06:56 PM18 trades$2,8523 min
7/18/2026, 9:28:22 PM14 trades$2,8307 min
4/20/2026, 8:08:02 PM5 trades$2,7801 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-20
05-05
05-25
06-07
06-20
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.1 / M1.9 / H82