@0x6a1499e044028947aa3d8f7be11746e37b66c927
210x6a1499e044028947aa3d8f7be11746e37b66c927
~17d· 37 markets · 152 trades2026-08-02 06:39:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (17/37)8/20
0.91x (win $6,810 / loss $7,506)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2250/15
Sortino -1.8800/10
$-0.0422 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 408 (37 markets)10/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 159% of peak ($1,884 / $1,187)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-456
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,496
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
58B / 94S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
17W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-456
Win Rate
46%
17W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$401
Avg Loss
$-417
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,351 (5.151852419867231% of PnL)
Top Winners
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5$852
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5$837
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5$663
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$646
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5$431
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5$413
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$353
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5$352
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$340
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5$327
Top Losers
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$-1,000
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5$-972
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5$-600
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5$-600
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5$-598
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$-450
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$-440
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5$-400
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5$-392
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-380
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.128
HHI
422
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
33%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7539s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)56.9%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 7:55:28 PM2 trades$1,8500 min
6/26/2026, 3:12:59 AM2 trades$1,8010 min
6/22/2026, 2:33:28 AM4 trades$1,3650 min
6/28/2026, 1:34:14 AM2 trades$1,1940 min
6/27/2026, 11:00:01 PM2 trades$1,0570 min
6/20/2026, 5:58:55 PM2 trades$1,0500 min
6/21/2026, 10:55:44 PM2 trades$1,0320 min
6/24/2026, 12:28:19 AM2 trades$9510 min
6/18/2026, 10:59:40 PM2 trades$9260 min
6/26/2026, 1:07:20 AM2 trades$9100 min
6/26/2026, 9:00:05 PM2 trades$8540 min
6/20/2026, 3:03:38 AM2 trades$8330 min
6/29/2026, 7:53:44 PM3 trades$7350 min
6/25/2026, 2:23:02 AM3 trades$6670 min
6/23/2026, 6:55:35 PM2 trades$6550 min
6/26/2026, 8:00:22 PM9 trades$6430 min
6/28/2026, 4:02:01 AM2 trades$6300 min
6/28/2026, 3:20:14 AM2 trades$6120 min
6/22/2026, 7:04:41 PM2 trades$6100 min
6/26/2026, 6:30:52 PM2 trades$6000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-14
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-27
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M43.1 / H56.9