@0x6a9ba0910857199d68Cf2A3e494c23b273b67d4e-1772315519288

#2,675,10422

0x6a9ba0910857199d68cf2a3e494c23b273b67d4e

~37d· 51 markets · 188 tradesVol: $12,1012026-08-02 04:12:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (20/46)6.7/20
0.71x (win $421 / loss $595)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5070/15
Sortino -3.1490/10
$-0.0723 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 379 (46 markets)10/10
12/24 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 747% of peak ($200 / $27)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,378,807$-20Vol: $8,238
🎭 CULTURE#777,285$-91Vol: $1,589
₿ CRYPTO#449,914$1Vol: $768
📈 ECONOMICS#59,010$5Vol: $602
⚽ SPORTS#1,443,994$-18Vol: $583
💰 FINANCE#566,571$-9Vol: $179
🌤️ WEATHER#271,397$-38Vol: $143

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,101
Total Redeem
$150
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
86B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-171
Vol: $12,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
20W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-171
Win Rate
43%
20W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $244 (1.4257766876897922% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$140
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$69
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$35
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$31
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$26
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$23
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$22
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$11

Top Losers

Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$-110
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-100
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$-93
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-83
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-30
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$-26
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?$-26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-18
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.128
Sortino
-0.163
HHI
267
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
25.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1390s — normal for humanCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)46.5%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 2:50:30 PM2 trades$6820 min
4/13/2026, 6:31:45 PM8 trades$3271 min
3/31/2026, 10:07:13 PM4 trades$2940 min
4/11/2026, 6:00:39 PM14 trades$2290 min
5/17/2026, 12:12:14 AM4 trades$1750 min
3/1/2026, 4:30:27 PM5 trades$1748 min
5/5/2026, 8:51:50 PM5 trades$1690 min
5/17/2026, 12:19:03 AM9 trades$1561 min
5/11/2026, 9:09:20 PM2 trades$1430 min
4/12/2026, 10:31:49 PM2 trades$1310 min
4/14/2026, 2:05:41 PM4 trades$1170 min
3/28/2026, 7:31:36 PM1 trades$1070 min
4/13/2026, 4:21:37 PM2 trades$1060 min
3/31/2026, 10:38:27 PM5 trades$1030 min
3/22/2026, 3:28:05 AM3 trades$1028 min
3/15/2026, 2:12:41 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/23/2026, 8:38:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/23/2026, 8:46:45 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/3/2026, 1:47:07 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/5/2026, 4:49:41 PM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-09
03-23
04-04
04-12
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.7 / M26.7 / H46.5