@mikehoyles
#2,808,446730x6befbbd10fb12f60a0b1d1353c6ef5db376cf650
~54d· 113 markets · 775 tradesVol: $24,2322026-08-02 04:12:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (43/72)14.9/20
1.60x (win $1,177 / loss $734)10/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.08015/15
Sortino 5.48010/10
$+0.0406 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 265 (72 markets)10/10
28/39 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($279 / $442)1.4/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Consistent
28/39 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,083$-85Vol: $13,911
💰 FINANCE#634,331$-117Vol: $4,276
₿ CRYPTO#1,494,299$-125Vol: $4,105
📈 ECONOMICS#578,529$-6Vol: $1,171
⚽ SPORTS#1,557,600$-40Vol: $611
🎭 CULTURE#473,613$-0Vol: $157
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,232
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
279B / 496S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-132
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-373
Vol: $24,232
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
43W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-373
Win Rate
60%
43W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-41
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $329 (0.882092911107539% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$138
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$99
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$92
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$88
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$64
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$52
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July?$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$47
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$38
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-130
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$-100
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-64
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-60
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$-47
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-46
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-40
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-36
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.211
Sortino
0.158
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
17.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1612s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)87.8%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 6:06:15 AM13 trades$3664 min
5/21/2026, 2:15:58 AM4 trades$3575 min
7/19/2026, 12:08:31 PM6 trades$3540 min
6/29/2026, 11:21:10 PM6 trades$3381 min
7/17/2026, 11:20:58 AM7 trades$3053 min
7/9/2026, 11:18:10 AM9 trades$2811 min
7/21/2026, 11:35:16 AM8 trades$2751 min
7/2/2026, 11:04:05 PM2 trades$2740 min
6/30/2026, 11:07:37 PM13 trades$2740 min
7/7/2026, 11:06:32 AM13 trades$2580 min
6/22/2026, 12:06:22 AM6 trades$2391 min
6/28/2026, 12:14:01 AM3 trades$2380 min
7/10/2026, 3:51:29 PM6 trades$2270 min
7/3/2026, 5:21:37 AM6 trades$2241 min
7/5/2026, 6:07:11 AM16 trades$2200 min
6/26/2026, 11:05:14 AM6 trades$2180 min
7/22/2026, 1:17:21 AM7 trades$2051 min
7/1/2026, 11:08:53 PM9 trades$1991 min
7/4/2026, 2:05:11 PM10 trades$1951 min
7/8/2026, 11:07:50 PM7 trades$1922 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
06-06
06-15
06-28
07-05
07-14
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M7.5 / H87.8