@Oldacre

#401,43435

0x6cdec1dc4656d8686ddbe323b01ef31a8df38e15

~6d· 11 markets · 39 tradesVol: $11,5102026-08-02 05:10:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (6/7)20/20
0.37x (win $467 / loss $1,245)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1055 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1555 (7 markets)4.7/10
3/4 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 1102% of peak ($1,121 / $102)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+23
Consistent
3/4 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#920,836$-1Vol: $11,210
SPORTS#216,073$24Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,510
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
26B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
6W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
86%
6W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-1,245

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $320 (14.003504161191415% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$124
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?$124
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$72
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$54
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$48
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$45

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-1,245

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-194537.500
HHI
790
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.0m
between trades
Night Trading
80%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2421s — normal for humanCV 0.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)79% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.6%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 5:58:10 AM4 trades$9680 min
6/25/2026, 8:16:08 AM3 trades$9563 min
6/30/2026, 4:39:55 AM4 trades$9300 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:55 AM3 trades$5724 min
6/28/2026, 1:40:49 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/24/2026, 5:24:28 AM2 trades$4930 min
6/28/2026, 3:23:17 AM2 trades$4800 min
6/25/2026, 6:18:47 AM1 trades$4650 min
6/25/2026, 9:41:26 AM1 trades$4640 min
6/19/2026, 2:22:47 AM2 trades$4600 min
6/28/2026, 3:10:40 AM2 trades$4590 min
6/19/2026, 3:21:35 AM2 trades$4560 min
6/28/2026, 6:16:40 AM2 trades$4560 min
7/24/2026, 6:04:49 AM1 trades$4490 min
6/19/2026, 3:08:32 AM1 trades$4190 min
6/19/2026, 4:53:49 AM1 trades$4150 min
6/12/2026, 2:55:57 AM2 trades$2900 min
6/30/2026, 3:06:52 AM2 trades$880 min
6/30/2026, 4:46:41 AM2 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.4 / M0 / H84.6