@Doncaster

#199,35739

0x6d0ecaca0d53dbbe416afc35e1a2a0a712398f54

~18d· 21 markets · 92 tradesVol: $31,3112026-08-02 07:01:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (11/16)19.4/20
0.88x (win $451 / loss $511)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9310/15
Sortino -1.0840/10
$-0.0072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 814 (16 markets)8.4/10
9/12 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($511 / $451)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+146
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Consistent
9/12 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#159,110$12Vol: $26,238
SPORTS#105,359$134Vol: $5,073

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,311
Total Redeem
$473
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
59B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $3,616
Week
$7
Vol: $3,616
Month
$7
Vol: $7,296
All Time
$146
Vol: $31,311

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
11W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$146
Win Rate
69%
11W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $228 (1.5593092578633592% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)$102
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$64
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5$61
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$51
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$42
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)$38
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$27
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$19
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$16
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$16

Top Losers

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$-172
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-124
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-96
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$-69
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
649
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
70%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)70% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)62.7%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 8:38:33 AM2 trades$1,0180 min
6/6/2026, 8:51:28 AM6 trades$1,0101 min
5/25/2026, 3:22:44 AM3 trades$9702 min
8/1/2026, 4:33:39 AM3 trades$9200 min
7/11/2026, 2:50:35 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/11/2026, 5:37:13 AM7 trades$8552 min
6/28/2026, 5:13:56 AM4 trades$8000 min
6/28/2026, 6:23:19 AM6 trades$7700 min
5/24/2026, 5:51:39 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/25/2026, 2:16:53 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/11/2026, 1:43:33 AM4 trades$4752 min
4/27/2026, 7:15:20 AM2 trades$4740 min
5/9/2026, 8:15:22 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/7/2026, 1:04:42 AM1 trades$4600 min
5/8/2026, 5:35:21 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/6/2026, 7:56:10 AM1 trades$4580 min
5/8/2026, 3:05:40 AM2 trades$4400 min
5/8/2026, 5:23:27 AM3 trades$4393 min
5/10/2026, 5:05:27 AM2 trades$4300 min
5/10/2026, 3:13:11 AM2 trades$4200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-27
05-08
05-10
05-28
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.3 / M0 / H62.7