@szabelin
#3,048,805200x6dd6c6cea5ded7fd68d81e5678e9a818a2a3b643
~29d· 24 markets · 337 tradesVol: $104,0932026-08-02 06:26:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (11/21)11.2/20
0.15x (win $2,681 / loss $18,385)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0350/15
Sortino -7.4370/10
$-0.5445 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1401 (21 markets)5.5/10
6/14 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 4973% of peak ($16,118 / $324)0/10
Badges
2DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,577$-6,569Vol: $97,418
📈 ECONOMICS#676,380$-672Vol: $6,675
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$104,093
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
141B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7,242
Vol: $104,093
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
11W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-7,242
Win Rate
52%
11W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$244
Avg Loss
$-1,838
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,385 (0.19124884693353367% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$487
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$479
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$418
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$399
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$255
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$148
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$146
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$108
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$78
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-8,379
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,324
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-699
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-604
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-500
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-327
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-307
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-134
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-75
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$-35
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.405
Sortino
-0.339
HHI
1448
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.603
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29%
Top-5 markets
69.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 476s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)68.1%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 8:51:37 AM21 trades$7,5820 min
6/13/2026, 4:02:39 PM43 trades$5,9812 min
6/13/2026, 1:50:57 PM12 trades$3,1373 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:48 AM23 trades$3,0160 min
6/19/2026, 9:08:13 PM25 trades$2,3674 min
6/9/2026, 9:22:46 PM6 trades$1,9000 min
6/11/2026, 8:55:03 PM7 trades$1,4871 min
3/9/2026, 9:36:57 PM2 trades$1,4071 min
7/5/2026, 1:23:53 PM2 trades$1,3000 min
4/12/2026, 6:30:21 PM2 trades$1,2190 min
4/12/2026, 3:17:21 PM4 trades$1,1760 min
6/15/2026, 8:51:37 AM4 trades$1,0145 min
3/17/2026, 1:49:57 AM2 trades$1,0001 min
5/23/2026, 10:36:39 PM7 trades$1,0000 min
6/8/2026, 10:34:33 AM1 trades$9000 min
2/28/2026, 10:14:05 PM11 trades$8086 min
5/24/2026, 9:46:16 PM6 trades$7840 min
5/24/2026, 9:51:45 PM2 trades$7780 min
6/10/2026, 10:31:18 AM3 trades$7550 min
4/12/2026, 6:46:41 PM2 trades$7140 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-17
04-12
04-29
05-31
06-13
06-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22 / M9.9 / H68.1