@sjerajrlw

#385,22868

0x6f0e891c8531196ecae6ab1a0454d6636c323165

~76d· 164 markets · 1734 tradesVol: $605,3582026-08-02 07:06:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (46/162)0/20
6.33x (win $36,392 / loss $5,751)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.61615/15
Sortino 66.26310/10
$+1.1587 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 823 (162 markets)8.4/10
13/57 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($2,278 / $32,918)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+26
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#12,342$1,818Vol: $285,057
📈 ECONOMICS#676,296$-655Vol: $203,422
💰 FINANCE#647,224$-402Vol: $35,876
CRYPTO#1,597,880$-632Vol: $33,858
💻 TECH#250,015$-129Vol: $30,883
📢 MENTIONS#7,917$64Vol: $9,200
SPORTS#1,390,928$-13Vol: $6,188
🎭 CULTURE#732,542$-24Vol: $874

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$605,358
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
1248B / 486S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$27
Vol: $605,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
46W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$27
Win Rate
28%
46W / 116L
Profit Factor
6.33x
Avg Win
$791
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,736 (1235.336603773585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$29,700
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2,344
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$693
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$679
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$646
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$638
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$546
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$344
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?$123
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?$121

Top Losers

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-517
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-484
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-182
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-181
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-152
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$-146
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-145
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-141
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-140
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-138

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
4.040
HHI
3292
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.166
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
57%
Top-5 markets
66.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
14.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 14.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.63
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)8%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:41:55 AM13 trades$12,9154 min
4/3/2026, 5:27:19 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/3/2026, 3:06:47 AM2 trades$4,9900 min
5/15/2026, 7:01:16 PM4 trades$4,6001 min
6/16/2026, 3:55:09 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/2/2026, 9:29:49 PM3 trades$2,5200 min
5/16/2026, 10:03:45 PM12 trades$2,2620 min
4/3/2026, 12:46:27 AM6 trades$2,2333 min
6/16/2026, 1:32:25 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/9/2026, 4:53:42 PM12 trades$1,9354 min
6/19/2026, 1:00:31 PM21 trades$1,7022 min
6/21/2026, 9:39:49 AM10 trades$1,6552 min
6/20/2026, 1:37:58 PM26 trades$1,5654 min
5/18/2026, 6:24:30 AM6 trades$1,5005 min
6/15/2026, 12:18:00 AM2 trades$1,3970 min
4/1/2026, 11:07:37 AM6 trades$1,3005 min
6/18/2026, 12:52:43 PM10 trades$1,2800 min
6/2/2026, 12:57:35 PM18 trades$1,2283 min
6/8/2026, 1:46:51 AM3 trades$1,1800 min
4/2/2026, 9:22:07 PM6 trades$1,1690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
03-30
05-06
05-22
06-08
06-18
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.4 / M5.6 / H8