@Waterflow
#135,550960x7212e1b304b450045c03b94d38832fe0772ef30d
~52d· 49 markets · 263 tradesVol: $29,2692026-08-02 06:37:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (29/40)20/20
3.22x (win $1,459 / loss $452)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.66715/15
Sortino 18.24910/10
$+0.1312 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 638 (40 markets)9.3/10
24/31 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($145 / $1,032)10/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+349
Consistent
24/31 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#70,071$320Vol: $19,771
🏛️ POLITICS#118,698$27Vol: $8,989
📈 ECONOMICS#623,581$-19Vol: $264
💰 FINANCE#42,441$18Vol: $123
₿ CRYPTO#316,967$4Vol: $122
Overview
#1Net PnL
$349
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
105B / 158S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$349
Vol: $29,269
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
29W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$349
Win Rate
73%
29W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.22x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-57
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $802 (2.29688260384164% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$364
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$298
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$141
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$67
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$65
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 7.5-10%$60
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$45
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$44
Top Losers
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?$-146
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-120
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$-60
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-7
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.343
Sortino
0.499
HHI
495
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.145
Kelly %
1.6%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
41.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1623s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)73.3%
Sessions
#1211/3/2024, 10:36:36 AM1 trades$9930 min
1/24/2024, 6:31:48 AM1 trades$8560 min
10/10/2024, 7:47:51 PM1 trades$6260 min
5/16/2026, 5:00:14 AM4 trades$4661 min
1/24/2024, 3:20:36 AM1 trades$4590 min
4/28/2026, 12:59:32 AM2 trades$4440 min
7/7/2026, 8:19:31 AM16 trades$4341 min
4/1/2026, 12:55:35 PM8 trades$4282 min
3/7/2026, 3:06:47 AM4 trades$4023 min
5/13/2026, 11:40:40 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/19/2026, 3:04:05 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/9/2026, 7:33:31 AM6 trades$3823 min
5/8/2026, 2:49:57 AM3 trades$3750 min
1/24/2024, 3:09:20 AM1 trades$3600 min
10/10/2024, 10:32:35 PM2 trades$3520 min
7/7/2026, 1:54:11 AM8 trades$3450 min
1/24/2024, 1:52:14 AM1 trades$3000 min
1/24/2024, 12:38:58 AM1 trades$2990 min
7/7/2026, 8:27:19 AM14 trades$2824 min
4/7/2026, 5:58:35 AM6 trades$2520 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
11-03
03-17
05-06
05-27
06-20
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20 / M6.7 / H73.3