@apollo1931

#1,918,67862

0x722d1c48fede518ff447eec823b4348df494f01e

~16d· 47 markets · 304 tradesVol: $25,6602026-08-02 09:31:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (7/19)3.4/20
4.50x (win $38 / loss $9)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.87615/15
Sortino 35.35210/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1686 (19 markets)4.1/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($9 / $30)8.3/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 29%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,216,885$-7Vol: $14,551
SPORTS#1,216,792$-5Vol: $10,142
CRYPTO#715,229$-0Vol: $353
🎭 CULTURE#441,340$-0Vol: $347
💰 FINANCE#369,737$-0Vol: $138
📈 ECONOMICS#346,446$-0Vol: $130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,660
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
145B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13
Vol: $25,660

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
7W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
37%
7W / 12L
Profit Factor
4.5x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37 (2.898981989036805% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?$1
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$0
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0
Netanyahu out by July 31?$0

Top Losers

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$-2
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-2
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?$-0
Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$-0
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-0
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-0
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.243
Sortino
1.801
HHI
255
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
30.4%
Half-Kelly
15.2%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 510s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)85.5%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 2:51:30 AM2 trades$1,8450 min
4/16/2026, 3:20:12 AM2 trades$1,3080 min
6/27/2026, 11:46:34 PM3 trades$1,0280 min
4/16/2026, 3:54:36 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
4/15/2026, 1:20:14 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
6/27/2026, 8:01:29 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
4/16/2026, 3:35:08 AM2 trades$1,0090 min
4/15/2026, 1:04:34 AM2 trades$9870 min
6/28/2026, 11:10:58 PM2 trades$9790 min
6/29/2026, 12:54:38 AM2 trades$9750 min
6/27/2026, 7:32:50 AM2 trades$9650 min
4/14/2026, 8:31:19 AM6 trades$9650 min
4/14/2026, 7:00:31 AM2 trades$9510 min
6/27/2026, 6:21:44 AM2 trades$9460 min
6/29/2026, 12:32:25 AM2 trades$9280 min
4/15/2026, 12:21:52 AM2 trades$9050 min
4/14/2026, 8:14:17 AM2 trades$9030 min
6/28/2026, 11:33:34 PM3 trades$7770 min
6/28/2026, 12:09:11 AM3 trades$7710 min
4/15/2026, 12:47:20 AM3 trades$7150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-04
04-14
04-15
04-16
05-10
06-27
06-28
06-29
07-16
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M0 / H85.5