@Guesswhat2
#2,865,371280x746b03da1aa9331acdb6b90625ebc74d2f648a94
~48d· 70 markets · 436 tradesVol: $106,4112026-08-02 06:37:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (37/67)12.6/20
0.64x (win $3,701 / loss $5,815)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6080/15
Sortino -2.7760/10
$-0.1223 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 706 (67 markets)9/10
19/34 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 399% of peak ($2,821 / $707)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7💰 FINANCE#648,588$-497Vol: $36,696
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,355$-421Vol: $34,941
🏛️ POLITICS#36,314$294Vol: $19,767
🎭 CULTURE#61,741$12Vol: $10,217
🌤️ WEATHER#275,433$-49Vol: $2,532
📈 ECONOMICS#46,411$8Vol: $1,493
₿ CRYPTO#109,443$74Vol: $764
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,411
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
121B / 315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
37W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-580
Win Rate
55%
37W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-233
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,499 (2.5870994460837604% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$545
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$504
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$451
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$205
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$198
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$181
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$127
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$123
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$113
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$99
Top Losers
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-2,200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-1,000
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$-251
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$-238
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-230
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.109
HHI
425
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.126
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
36.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6240s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)63.6%
Sessions
#124/16/2026, 3:07:24 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/28/2026, 6:09:56 PM23 trades$5,3250 min
5/13/2026, 1:59:08 PM59 trades$4,7660 min
7/4/2026, 10:50:49 PM9 trades$3,5275 min
5/11/2026, 10:56:22 AM46 trades$3,3798 min
4/29/2026, 1:48:16 PM13 trades$3,2471 min
7/5/2026, 4:07:53 AM2 trades$2,0370 min
4/19/2026, 5:33:18 PM19 trades$1,7352 min
7/10/2026, 9:02:22 PM2 trades$1,3410 min
5/1/2026, 6:07:58 AM6 trades$1,3262 min
4/13/2026, 4:51:55 AM4 trades$1,3191 min
6/22/2026, 1:21:01 AM6 trades$1,2880 min
7/4/2026, 6:58:34 PM2 trades$1,1900 min
4/30/2026, 4:27:30 AM2 trades$9990 min
6/16/2026, 11:27:45 AM12 trades$9712 min
7/11/2026, 9:21:22 PM2 trades$9480 min
4/26/2026, 5:48:00 AM11 trades$8725 min
4/28/2026, 8:52:18 AM4 trades$8431 min
5/4/2026, 5:19:08 PM14 trades$8293 min
6/4/2026, 12:18:22 AM7 trades$7940 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-26
05-03
05-15
06-18
06-25
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.7 / M15.7 / H63.6