@FarseerProphecies
#3,067,259100x746fb1be8434cfa4398c124aeff69f034e3e566d
~83d· 92 markets · 3538 tradesVol: $2,809,2012026-08-02 06:32:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (34/78)6.8/20
0.15x (win $12,930 / loss $85,489)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9050/15
Sortino -7.4820/10
$-0.3162 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1876 (78 markets)3.1/10
12/40 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 1190% of peak ($79,215 / $6,656)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Whale
$229,443 invested
High Roller
$1,687/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,891$-38,557Vol: $2,773,531
⚽ SPORTS#1,595,225$-51Vol: $21,072
📈 ECONOMICS#676,122$-633Vol: $13,448
🎭 CULTURE#83,572$6Vol: $850
₿ CRYPTO#1,179,447$-12Vol: $300
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-39,247
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,809,201
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
2233B / 1305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d
Periods
#2Today
$-2,528
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,937
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,396
Vol: $0
All Time
$-39,247
Vol: $2,809,201
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
34W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-39,247
Win Rate
44%
34W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$380
Avg Loss
$-1,943
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,495 (0.21646408814439802% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$5,997
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1,314
Iran leadership change by June 30?$1,184
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,084
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$949
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?$529
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$449
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$189
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?$187
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?$186
Top Losers
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-15,889
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$-14,839
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-8,960
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-6,938
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-6,778
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-5,710
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$-5,686
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-4,528
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-3,060
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-2,758
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.409
Sortino
-0.384
HHI
497
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.429
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
42.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.6
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 6.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
34.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)49.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)30.9%
Sessions
#124/29/2026, 2:49:04 AM2 trades$112,5460 min
4/28/2026, 3:55:18 PM8 trades$51,3110 min
5/19/2026, 2:13:01 AM22 trades$37,5025 min
3/16/2026, 9:23:57 PM1 trades$26,6980 min
3/25/2026, 9:03:17 PM2 trades$25,5403 min
5/22/2026, 3:51:58 AM39 trades$25,0006 min
5/17/2026, 4:26:31 PM9 trades$20,5195 min
7/17/2026, 12:44:28 AM33 trades$17,0908 min
4/23/2026, 5:42:40 PM29 trades$15,39210 min
5/16/2026, 2:09:21 AM25 trades$15,04017 min
4/12/2026, 7:20:55 AM20 trades$14,0571 min
4/21/2026, 9:05:16 PM30 trades$14,0271 min
5/22/2026, 10:10:27 PM12 trades$13,6480 min
4/20/2026, 4:52:14 PM14 trades$12,2285 min
4/9/2026, 12:03:39 AM31 trades$11,39912 min
5/16/2026, 3:00:11 AM11 trades$11,1684 min
4/20/2026, 12:10:16 AM7 trades$10,6730 min
5/18/2026, 4:13:44 PM12 trades$10,6268 min
5/16/2026, 2:54:32 AM14 trades$8,9540 min
5/23/2026, 4:20:34 AM8 trades$7,7420 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
03-28
04-09
04-19
05-19
06-08
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.4 / M19.7 / H30.9