@carnegiepilled
#3,028,645100x751b1b9f96e34d41097cb9e96daa1002e71c5d1b
~31d· 71 markets · 851 tradesVol: $102,9882026-08-02 06:36:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (19/57)1.7/20
0.33x (win $3,080 / loss $9,308)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4020/15
Sortino -5.3230/10
$-0.1506 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 959 (57 markets)7.7/10
8/25 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($6,308 / $0)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,791,733$-481Vol: $29,328
📈 ECONOMICS#665,412$-162Vol: $16,492
💰 FINANCE#643,987$-273Vol: $8,259
🏛️ POLITICS#102,021$38Vol: $5,652
💻 TECH#24,997$5Vol: $88
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,691
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,988
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
327B / 524S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $0
Month
$-29
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,691
Vol: $102,988
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
19W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-3,691
Win Rate
33%
19W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$162
Avg Loss
$-332
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,887 (0.5112756082163052% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$846
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$612
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$429
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$296
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$175
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$136
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$81
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76
Top Losers
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$-4,282
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$-1,183
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-576
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-486
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-412
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner$-342
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-304
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-213
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-213
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-208
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.277
Sortino
-0.234
HHI
696
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
51.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 157s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)59.6%
Sessions
#124/25/2026, 3:53:24 PM19 trades$10,9384 min
4/25/2026, 5:06:20 PM3 trades$7,2080 min
6/23/2026, 10:09:35 AM7 trades$5,0004 min
4/25/2026, 2:42:00 PM2 trades$3,6160 min
7/14/2026, 1:25:01 PM2 trades$3,5340 min
6/22/2026, 9:27:47 PM1 trades$3,4200 min
4/26/2026, 4:28:36 PM10 trades$3,3353 min
4/25/2026, 4:35:44 PM20 trades$3,2609 min
4/25/2026, 5:26:26 PM19 trades$2,8974 min
6/23/2026, 5:20:53 PM22 trades$2,8117 min
7/16/2026, 11:17:16 AM14 trades$2,7392 min
4/25/2026, 5:39:14 PM50 trades$2,6236 min
4/25/2026, 1:28:56 PM10 trades$2,3220 min
4/25/2026, 3:20:52 PM3 trades$2,2690 min
4/25/2026, 3:43:00 PM18 trades$2,2200 min
6/18/2026, 2:34:32 PM33 trades$1,9928 min
6/16/2026, 3:57:50 PM7 trades$1,9611 min
7/9/2026, 10:29:43 AM10 trades$1,3625 min
7/8/2026, 1:38:37 PM7 trades$1,2463 min
6/18/2026, 10:37:37 AM13 trades$1,1931 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-23
06-22
06-27
07-01
07-14
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.8 / M19.6 / H59.6