@nowaay

#2,555,04111

0x754d5b2e5c7f35dd0c5b06200a61718f22c8937b

~12d· 27 markets · 46 tradesVol: $5,3752026-08-02 04:14:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (8/25)1/20
0.77x (win $172 / loss $222)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9560/15
Sortino -4.3340/10
$-0.1075 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 652 (25 markets)9.2/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 850% of peak ($94 / $11)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
💻 TECH#242,610$-47Vol: $2,336
CRYPTO#1,503,768$-141Vol: $1,435
SPORTS#135,500$79Vol: $1,195
🏛️ POLITICS#1,056,690$-3Vol: $300
💰 FINANCE#589,618$-17Vol: $57
📢 MENTIONS#12,326$28Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-101
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,375
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
34B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
8W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-101
Win Rate
32%
8W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $99 (0.9784222508165891% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$31
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?$-25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?$-25
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$-20
Will Netflix say "Jake Paul" during earnings call?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?$-8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.413
HHI
253
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.154
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.64
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.2%
Mid (20-55c)52.9%
High (>55c)8.8%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:12:37 PM2 trades$1,1680 min
1/23/2026, 8:24:42 AM1 trades$800 min
7/19/2026, 7:13:52 PM2 trades$520 min
1/21/2026, 9:06:30 PM3 trades$473 min
3/31/2026, 9:25:35 PM4 trades$430 min
1/17/2026, 1:10:44 PM2 trades$403 min
6/30/2026, 6:40:26 PM4 trades$400 min
3/31/2026, 9:31:53 PM2 trades$310 min
1/17/2026, 1:04:00 PM1 trades$300 min
3/30/2026, 8:38:03 PM3 trades$305 min
1/19/2026, 7:10:10 PM2 trades$250 min
1/19/2026, 7:56:32 PM1 trades$250 min
1/22/2026, 9:02:06 AM4 trades$231 min
3/31/2026, 4:37:09 AM2 trades$211 min
1/26/2026, 9:37:37 PM4 trades$201 min
3/30/2026, 9:40:13 PM2 trades$200 min
4/2/2026, 1:09:01 PM3 trades$200 min
3/30/2026, 9:10:59 PM1 trades$100 min
3/30/2026, 9:23:53 PM1 trades$100 min
3/30/2026, 9:33:01 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
01-19
01-22
01-26
03-30
03-31
04-02
06-30
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.2 / M52.9 / H8.8