@tinytouns

#3,052,24157

0x755559b7618f35218e0e4769148f7131080e7822

~30d· 43 markets · 654 tradesVol: $320,3172026-08-02 05:25:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (17/36)8.6/20
1.56x (win $27,776 / loss $17,821)9.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.75515/15
Sortino 4.14210/10
$+0.1022 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 1987 (36 markets)2.6/10
9/19 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($14,437 / $24,245)2.1/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 15.2 entries/market
Whale
$97,389 invested
High Roller
$2,164/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,821$-6,213Vol: $255,272
⚽ SPORTS#1,768,203$-308Vol: $35,772
📈 ECONOMICS#679,969$-2,040Vol: $28,705
₿ CRYPTO#1,361,988$-41Vol: $568

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,602
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$320,317
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
464B / 190S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $0
Week
$186
Vol: $0
Month
$-257
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8,602
Vol: $320,317

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
17W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-8,602
Win Rate
47%
17W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$1,634
Avg Loss
$-1,188

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,599 (2.97587236708877% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$22,469
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$1,629
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,500
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$634
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$630
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?$209
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$187
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$138
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$60

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-8,170
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-6,026
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-1,303
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-442
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-355
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$-312
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-246
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-220
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$-209
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.168
HHI
952
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.6%
Top-5 markets
50.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 451s — normal for humanCV 4.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)70%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 12:40:32 PM3 trades$15,1540 min
6/19/2026, 7:09:59 PM1 trades$14,8940 min
6/19/2026, 9:01:35 PM24 trades$11,3321 min
6/20/2026, 12:45:58 PM6 trades$6,7100 min
6/20/2026, 12:07:41 AM2 trades$5,6740 min
6/18/2026, 9:03:29 AM7 trades$5,5402 min
6/20/2026, 10:07:17 AM6 trades$4,8790 min
7/4/2026, 10:15:14 AM11 trades$3,7730 min
6/16/2026, 10:48:32 PM15 trades$3,5162 min
6/20/2026, 9:43:53 AM1 trades$3,5000 min
6/17/2026, 2:24:14 PM3 trades$3,2650 min
6/20/2026, 4:25:25 AM1 trades$3,1910 min
6/20/2026, 1:07:14 PM14 trades$2,8956 min
6/19/2026, 11:14:02 PM1 trades$2,8270 min
6/22/2026, 3:02:13 PM4 trades$2,7530 min
7/14/2026, 1:09:11 PM1 trades$2,5430 min
6/17/2026, 10:02:29 PM3 trades$2,5310 min
6/20/2026, 1:24:55 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
6/20/2026, 5:31:52 PM3 trades$2,4671 min
6/17/2026, 11:29:41 PM12 trades$2,2564 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-27
07-14
07-21
07-25
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M24.4 / H70