@youngcheese

#7,19510

0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992

~48d· 47 markets · 1257 tradesVol: $657,8552026-08-02 06:39:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (13/42)0.5/20
0.53x (win $27,086 / loss $51,438)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7520/15
Sortino -8.3540/10
$-0.2279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 574 (42 markets)9.6/10
3/21 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 1969% of peak ($25,655 / $1,303)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+21,920
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Whale
$106,866 invested
High Roller
$1,670/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#3,613$15,514Vol: $394,286
💻 TECH#196$10,105Vol: $211,306
💰 FINANCE#656,090$-3,369Vol: $26,973
🏛️ POLITICS#1,596,498$-507Vol: $23,853
🎭 CULTURE#12,180$250Vol: $1,000
CRYPTO#1,430,917$-73Vol: $437

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21,920
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$657,855
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
842B / 415S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$170
Vol: $0
Week
$450
Vol: $0
Month
$217
Vol: $7
All Time
$21,920
Vol: $657,855

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
13W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$21,920
Win Rate
31%
13W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$2,084
Avg Loss
$-1,837

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,098 (0.8712443219170238% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,329
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,320
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$2,448
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$2,301
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$2,088
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$1,914
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$653
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$345
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$316
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$169

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,179
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,675
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-5,878
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$-4,971
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-3,277
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$-2,649
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-1,480
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$-1,327
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-1,306
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,155

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.447
Sortino
-0.480
HHI
745
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.233
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
54.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 3.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)43.1%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 5:59:51 AM15 trades$11,68015 min
6/11/2026, 6:58:30 AM110 trades$11,28112 min
5/30/2026, 11:12:57 PM10 trades$10,3600 min
6/16/2026, 12:03:16 AM10 trades$10,2181 min
7/17/2026, 10:25:18 AM1 trades$8,2400 min
6/30/2026, 8:32:28 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/18/2026, 7:20:46 PM3 trades$4,9900 min
7/18/2026, 10:52:13 PM3 trades$4,7000 min
7/18/2026, 6:11:07 PM2 trades$4,5830 min
6/9/2026, 8:45:28 AM5 trades$3,2371 min
6/15/2026, 10:46:03 PM13 trades$2,9790 min
6/5/2026, 6:50:25 PM27 trades$2,8524 min
7/1/2026, 8:31:20 PM7 trades$2,7323 min
6/30/2026, 3:23:11 PM4 trades$2,6940 min
6/2/2026, 5:57:18 PM10 trades$2,5920 min
6/9/2026, 5:02:58 PM12 trades$2,5771 min
7/3/2026, 3:23:31 PM4 trades$2,5000 min
6/24/2026, 11:46:53 PM2 trades$2,4440 min
6/14/2026, 3:20:31 PM4 trades$2,4001 min
7/2/2026, 9:38:44 PM7 trades$2,2330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-09
06-15
06-24
06-29
07-14
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.3 / M21.6 / H43.1