@towtle

#99,7730

0x77e34da86f95280c71e2ec12491d963b85e546cf

~100d· 31 markets · 1026 tradesVol: $115,5302026-08-02 06:30:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (4/17)0/20
0.29x (win $771 / loss $2,669)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0350/15
Sortino -5.2560/10
$-0.0639 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3951 (17 markets)0/10
2/14 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 355% of peak ($2,662 / $751)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+683
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#42,147$841Vol: $88,543
💻 TECH#256,274$-862Vol: $11,666
💰 FINANCE#10,751$249Vol: $7,631
🏛️ POLITICS#25,152$573Vol: $5,158
🎭 CULTURE#84,613$6Vol: $1,200
📈 ECONOMICS#647,571$-50Vol: $652

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$683
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,530
Total Redeem
$24
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
618B / 408S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $0
Week
$143
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$683
Vol: $115,530

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
4W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$683
Win Rate
24%
4W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-222

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $769 (1.1263514107409687% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?$751
Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2

Top Losers

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-1,812
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-212
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-162
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-150
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-92
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-79
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-40
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.254
Sortino
-0.258
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.452
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 401s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)44.2%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 1:31:02 AM19 trades$3,9630 min
7/19/2026, 9:55:16 AM6 trades$2,3000 min
6/25/2026, 10:16:32 PM19 trades$2,2300 min
7/20/2026, 2:38:37 PM1 trades$1,9660 min
5/2/2026, 4:21:18 PM16 trades$1,2721 min
5/30/2026, 10:44:10 PM3 trades$1,2366 min
6/27/2026, 4:33:29 PM3 trades$1,0510 min
6/11/2026, 3:26:57 PM4 trades$8390 min
3/29/2026, 5:15:20 AM7 trades$83712 min
7/26/2026, 3:03:10 PM32 trades$79017 min
7/28/2026, 5:51:58 AM3 trades$7086 min
6/7/2026, 1:06:01 PM4 trades$6661 min
6/27/2026, 11:04:07 AM4 trades$5784 min
3/24/2026, 9:47:11 AM1 trades$5600 min
6/7/2026, 1:13:19 PM15 trades$5023 min
3/7/2026, 6:26:29 AM3 trades$4901 min
2/27/2026, 9:04:31 PM2 trades$4863 min
6/14/2026, 8:26:42 PM1 trades$4830 min
6/27/2026, 4:43:58 PM2 trades$4710 min
3/29/2026, 5:55:48 AM7 trades$4697 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
02-28
03-23
04-13
06-25
06-29
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 142 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.2 / M29.6 / H44.2